Trading Plan EURUSD

The main plan: to sell EURUSD from the level of 1.1484 with the target of 1.1420.
The reasons:
Return the price of EURUSD to the range: 1.1500 - 1.1300.
It seems that it was a false breakthrough upwards.
Probability: 60% (average)

Reserve plan: buy EURUSD in the zone: 1.1500 - 1.1520.
The reasons:
Support 0.618% Fib.
Continued movement of the EURUSD price in a growing channel.
Probability: 40% (average)