Fundamental analysis
Broad market hopes for a faster pace of interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) peaked on Friday despite producer price index (PPI) wholesale inflation. of the United States increased significantly. The Fiber index extended its third straight weekly gain as investors' risk appetite was kept at a ceiling.
US Retail Sales figures will be released next Tuesday and Euro traders will have to wait for the European Central Bank's (ECB) latest interest rate call next week, which is expected takes place early next Thursday. The ECB recently delivered a quarter-point rate cut in early June, but further cuts appear unlikely and markets are generally forecast to cautiously leave rates unchanged in July.
Technical analysis
EUR/USD notched a third straight weekly gain, closing Friday slightly above 1.0900. The pair is up 2.3% from its late-June lows and the day's price action is preparing for a clash with the next technical resistance around 1,097. Beyond this peak, EURUSD will continue to move towards the previous year's high at 1,112. In the pullback the direct support level is at the point where investors fought a lot before choosing the winning BUY side at the 1.082 price zone, which is the same zone supported by the two EMAs. In a trend reversal next week's low could reach around 1,068.
Support: 1,082-1,068
Resistance: 1,097-1,112
SELL EURUSD zone 1.082-1.084 Stoploss 1.085
SELL EURUSD zone 1.112-1.114 Stoploss 1.115
BUY EURUSD zone 1.082-1.080 Stoploss 1.079
BUY EURUSD zone 1.068-1.066 Stoploss 1.065