Trading Plan EURUSD

The main plan: buy EURUSD from the level of 1.1500 with the target of 1.1600.
The reasons:
EURUSD price range breakthrough upwards.
Perhaps the beginning of a new growing trend.
Probability: 80% (high)

Reserve plan: to sell EURUSD in the zone: 1.1500 - 1.1485.
The reasons:
Return prices to the inside price range.
It will be understood that there was a false breakthrough up.
Probability: 20% (low)