EURUSD Short of the 20 MAV

The EURO is a shallow downtrend with USD and the 20 MAV has been a dynamically resistant structure for this pair.

I would simply look for price to retest the 20 MAV , which centers around the Monthly R 1 pivot presently and look to go short to the Monthly S1 pivot
and keep stops above the 50 MAV.

This follows the KISS principle .....