Thur. 7.1, for the past 24 hours: • EURUSD has dropped 39 pips against the previous day close; hit target set yesterday, but rebound not enough as expected. • ↓ 64 pips High & Low extreme move, vs. 63.3 pips of 22 day Average Range.
Strength (0~10) Comparison: • USD in early session MEDIUM 5.5 -> 7.8 STRONG of late session • EUR in early session MEDIUM 4.0 -> 3.6 MEDIUM of late session
Market Focus & Moods: • The dollar bid was relentless into quarter end before finally giving some back very late in the day. EUR/USD was soft for the second day as it fell to retest the post-Fed low at 1.1847 . Relevant markets are mixed, Yield spread rate EU-US fall down near the close of the day. • Thursday morning, 1st day of July, EU Markit Manufacturing data, I feel the direction of EURUSD's movement in the morning would define the direction for whole day even before weekend. Watch closely to bond markets! Afternoon, US initial jobless claims & ISM Manufacturing Index.
Next Step: • Due to the fall was not strong as I expected yesterday, and bounce is softer. • I prepare 2 direction for tomorrow: Upside 1st resistance 1.1880 and then consolidation around; Downside 1st target area 1.1830, 2nd target 1.1800~1790 area.
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