EURUSD traded quite quietly

22 May

EURUSD trades in somewhat of a tepid fashion but has a slight lean to the downside after bouncing off channel resistance. There was always a good chance that the dollar would recover some of its losses in a quieter week as the FX market tends to favour higher yielding currencies under less volatile conditions.

The pair approached overbought conditions but reversed course before actually breaching the marker. The last time this was observed was back in March when an extended period of selling ensued. Resistance remains at the upper limit of the ascending channel while support rests at the channel support, followed by the psychological level of 1.0800 and the 200 day simple moving average thereafter.

EURUSD trading seeks a catalyst that may only arrive towards the latter stages of next week when US PCE as well as German and EU inflation data is due.

24 May

Not

26 May

Not

On the daily time frame, EURUSD reversed below the 1.0880 resistance, coinciding with the upper border of the descending channel. If the price maintains its bearish momentum with a bearish break of the 1.0780 support, the price could fall further towards the 1.0650 support. Conversely, if the price breaks out of the descending channel and the 1.0880 resistance to the upside (bullish breakout), it could push the next potential resistance level at 1.1000 further. The RSI indicator is fluctuating near the overbought zone, suggesting that the potential for further price increases is limited.