EURUSD H1 12/12/2024 - Bearish Momentum and key supports tested
Multi-Timeframe Analysis D1 (Daily Chart) Trend: Strong bearish trend with price below the 200 SMA and inside the Ichimoku cloud. The overall bias remains bearish. Indicators: RSI: At 40, close to oversold territory but still with room for downside continuation. Stochastic: Near the mid-level (54), indicating a neutral stance with potential for further downside. MACD: Below the signal line, signaling bearish momentum. Key Levels: Support: 1.0480, 1.0450. Resistance: 1.0510, 1.0540.
H4 (4-Hour Chart) Trend: Bearish consolidation, with price below the 200 SMA and hugging the lower Bollinger Band. Indicators: RSI: At 42, showing weak momentum but not yet oversold. Stochastic: 28, nearing oversold levels. MACD: Below the signal line with bearish momentum but showing a flattening histogram, suggesting potential consolidation. Key Levels: Support: 1.0485, 1.0460. Resistance: 1.0515, 1.0540.
H1 (Hourly Chart) Trend: Downtrend remains intact with price trading below all major moving averages and below the Ichimoku cloud. Indicators: RSI: At 45, confirming weak bearish momentum. Stochastic: 23, indicating oversold conditions and possible pullback. MACD: Slightly bearish, with price momentum losing steam. ATR (14): At 10 pips, reflecting moderate volatility. Key Levels: Support: 1.0485, 1.0460. Resistance: 1.0510, 1.0535.
M30 (30-Minute Chart) Trend: Bearish but consolidating at key support levels near 1.0490. Indicators: RSI: At 43, close to oversold. Stochastic: 20, signaling a possible short-term pullback. MACD: Flat, reflecting indecision.
Correlated Financial Instruments DXY (US Dollar Index):
Continues to rise above 106.50, confirming USD strength and adding downward pressure on EUR/USD.
Gold (XAU/USD):
Declining due to USD strength, supporting a bearish bias for EUR/USD.
Trade Plan for EUR/USD (H1) Trade Setup 1: Bearish Continuation After Pullback Rationale: EUR/USD remains in a downtrend, and any retracement to key resistance levels provides a selling opportunity. Trade Details: Entry Price: 1.0510–1.0515 (on a retracement). Stop-Loss: 1.0535 (above recent resistance). Take-Profit Levels: TP1: 1.0485. TP2: 1.0460. Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2.
Trade Setup 2: Aggressive Breakout Short Rationale: A break below 1.0485 confirms bearish continuation toward lower support levels. Trade Details: Entry Price: 1.0480 (on breakout). Stop-Loss: 1.0505 (above the breakout level). Take-Profit Levels: TP1: 1.0460. TP2: 1.0435. Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2.
Trade Setup 3: Short-Term Scalping (Intraday Pullback to Resistance) Rationale: A minor retracement to intraday resistance levels could offer a short-term short trade with reduced risk. Trade Details: Entry Price: 1.0505. Stop-Loss: 1.0520. Take-Profit Levels: TP1: 1.0490. TP2: 1.0480. Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:1.5.
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