EURNZD - Downside Momentum Play

I see high probability to the downside for the week ahead. Here's a breakdown of the five key points I'm looking at.

1. Price tops out in late-August of 2023.
   
2. Price fails to push above previous highs, which serves as another indication that this range marks a relative high point for this pair.
   
3. Price re-enters this range, but sits lower than the previous high at #2.
   
4. Very repeatable pattern as price re-enter a lower range.
   
5. Watching the break and waiting for momentum to pick up to the downside as price is beginning to accelerate last Friday.