Nothing major changed from last week outlook, only a break and close above 1.6980 but EURNZD couldn't create a solid support above to extend the bush to upside.
- With all HTFs (M, W, D) are trending down, Monthly pointing to 1.6670 - Weekly pointing to 1.6770 and Daily currently bouncing from a solid support zone 1.6850/20, still the bias is short any bounce.
- The COT report showing that 70% of institutional positions are Long NZD which is the highest since 3 years compared to 30% Short positions. This is translated on the chart with EURNZD sustaining it's bearish trend and we are seeing support levels broken every week.
- Seasonality showing that EURNZD should be strong during the first 2 weeks of Jan which had happened during the last 2 weeks and the highest to reach this month and weakness should be the theme for the remining of Jan.
- Through trading several Months EURNZD, I prefer to see retracements to any move in order to have a range to trade to target. So i recommend to Short after retracement or break and Resistance formation below broken Support and vise versa for Longs.
- We have important news for NZD on Thursday and Friday.
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25 Jan - EURNZD Based on Asia H/L = Short Win +27
Based on the session bias: - Opening 4H Bearish - Asia session Bearish - Asia created minor support during the session - Pre-London created a low below Asia but didn't close below AL - London opened and retested Asia broken minor support formed and got rejected - 30m closed below AL but was not that solid to enter after - Waited a bit till we clear a bit Pre-London to short - Went in a 6 pip drawdown but worked well after - SL was above previous resistance formed on 30min - TP1 set to the previous support on 1H - TP2 set to support zone high
I don't prefer to trade Mondays, but this Monday the trade setup was good to get with it.
Entry 30m: Entry 1H: Trade Analysis:
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25 Jan - EURNZD - Daily Recap
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26 Jan - EURNZD Based on Asia H/L Short = Win +23
Based on the session bias: - Opening 4H Bullish - Asia session Bullish - Asia created minor support during the session - Pre-London created a high above AH and closed 30m above - London opened and dived down to Asia range creating Res above AH aligned with NYH - 30m closed below Asia minor Sup created during the session - Waited a bit till we cleared AL and entered Short - SL was above previous resistance formed on 30min - TP1 set to the previous support on 1H - TP2 set to support zone high
Entry 30m: TP1 : Trade Analysis:
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EN did it and broken the Support zone .. are we going to see a Res formation below it .. will look for that tomorrow after creating a low today to target tomorrow according to confirmations
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26 Jan - EURNZD - Daily Recap
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27 Jan - EURNZD - Daily Recap
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29 Jan - EURNZD Based on Asia H/L = Long Win +40
Based on the session bias: - Opening 4H Bullish - Asia session Bullish - Asia didn't create any solid support during the session, all candles were bullish - Europe open created a new high above AH and price started to retrace creating a resistance and went back to Asia Range - Pre-London open created support and closed above AH - 30m closed Above AH - Waited a bit till we clear a bit Pre-London to Long - SL was below previous support formed on 30min on London Open - TP1 was 20 pip from entry and moved SL to BE - TP2 set to Resistance level at 7020
Entry 15m: Entry 15m details: Close 50%: Full Close:
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