ETHEREUM Comfortably above the 1D MA50. Aiming at $2200.

21 Tem 2022Ethereum (ETHUSD) is currently on a minor three day pull-back following the emphatic break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The stop/ rejection of that break came exactly on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, which is the middle of the long-term Channel Down pattern that ETH has been trading in since the November 10 2021 All Time High (ATH). Don't forget, keep an even longer-term perspective if you want to have a clearer outlook of where we are in the market relative to past Cycles. This is something we've outlined a month ago when ETH was testing its Parabolic Growth curve, giving a buy signal:

On the shorter term and 1D time-frame, we have to consider the RSI Resistance Zone involved, which may be an additional reason for this profit-taking we're experiencing after the 1D MA50 break-out. However this doesn't mean that buyers have to leave the market as, as you see, all prior RSI Resistance tests, still gave (in some instances rather big) bullish extensions (the green Channels on the chart), before dropping evidently.

As you see, a similar extension to late October/ early November 2021 would push the price exactly at the top of the Channel Down, right on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which provided the last big rejection of the pattern on April 05. This extension (March 28 - April 05 2022) was the smallest of the group, while the biggest was August 2021.

This detailed chart shows how to act accordingly and close/ open trades within the Fibonacci levels, but always keep a long-term cyclical perspective as well.


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