Arguments of a week's size.
Hi!
We have some important signs for the dollar index that don't bode well for the crypto market!
This is the 1 WEEK CHART.
This is a high degree of reliability.
In fact, what we saw on last week's hourly chart has already developed into a persistent reversal.
1: Ishimoku. The green Kumo cloud has halted Bitcoin's fall. In fact its lower boundary Senkou B has not been tested. Kijun-sen also does not show resistance to the candlestick, and usually turns out to be the next support later...
2. EMA100 area is a support in the weekly chart. This is a very good signal for the continuation of USD strengthening trend!
3. The volatility has stopped falling and the first red shortening bar appeared. I'm sure in a few weeks there will also be the first black cross signifying a squeeze before an upside shot.
4. Stochastic has reversed and is flying up.
5. This is a Heikin Ashi chart and it is more sensitive to a trend reversal than normal Japanese candlesticks. You can see how we started this week.
Conclusion.
Remember, Bitcoin is still private money (even if influential funds buy it for investment purposes). Bitcoin has no monetary authority, it plays on the open market against fiat currencies (primarily the dollar), which are managed by powerful financial institutions.
This new weekly green candle is the result of a +0.25% increase in the Fed's key rate. Dollar borrowing has become expensive. Why should there be free liquidity available in the market to inject into high risk assets? Or do you believe that private hands around the world will outbid the Fed?
No, I do not believe that this weak sideways move of Bitcoin in November-December was a consolidation.
Now the curses will come )))
P.S. If I'm wrong, that's my problem.
You can watch this chart and decide your’s opinion.
I don't want to change your mind at all.
I am only pointing out my thoughts.
But I would like people to think better.
We have some important signs for the dollar index that don't bode well for the crypto market!
This is the 1 WEEK CHART.
This is a high degree of reliability.
In fact, what we saw on last week's hourly chart has already developed into a persistent reversal.
1: Ishimoku. The green Kumo cloud has halted Bitcoin's fall. In fact its lower boundary Senkou B has not been tested. Kijun-sen also does not show resistance to the candlestick, and usually turns out to be the next support later...
2. EMA100 area is a support in the weekly chart. This is a very good signal for the continuation of USD strengthening trend!
3. The volatility has stopped falling and the first red shortening bar appeared. I'm sure in a few weeks there will also be the first black cross signifying a squeeze before an upside shot.
4. Stochastic has reversed and is flying up.
5. This is a Heikin Ashi chart and it is more sensitive to a trend reversal than normal Japanese candlesticks. You can see how we started this week.
Conclusion.
Remember, Bitcoin is still private money (even if influential funds buy it for investment purposes). Bitcoin has no monetary authority, it plays on the open market against fiat currencies (primarily the dollar), which are managed by powerful financial institutions.
This new weekly green candle is the result of a +0.25% increase in the Fed's key rate. Dollar borrowing has become expensive. Why should there be free liquidity available in the market to inject into high risk assets? Or do you believe that private hands around the world will outbid the Fed?
No, I do not believe that this weak sideways move of Bitcoin in November-December was a consolidation.
Now the curses will come )))
P.S. If I'm wrong, that's my problem.
You can watch this chart and decide your’s opinion.
I don't want to change your mind at all.
I am only pointing out my thoughts.
But I would like people to think better.
Not
I can't get over my surprise.People predict short positions on the dollar when it is obvious that this up reversal is a consequence of a rate hike.
Listen the "it was predictable and was priced in earlier" arguments are complete bullshit.
A rate hike means a strengthening of the dollar. Never mind that it was predictable. What matters is that liquidity is more expensive today than it was a week ago.
Not
This week, it needs to break (and preferably get a foothold in)104.2 level. Corresponding to weekly EMA50.
Not
The wick closed quickly.
Up.
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Not so fast.
Yes, on the weekly chart I failed to reach the level.
But 4H shows that a hidden bullish divergence is in play.
Not
A double bottom on the level is detected and there may be a chance of two sideways short clouds on the daily timeframe.
In my experience if the second red cloud is as I drew, the next one is usually green expanding to a strong level.
After that it can go back down again.
Unfortunately all of this is tedious.
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Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.