DXY Major Support Test

2 Eki

We have a pretty interesting situation with fed fund futures moving all over the place. Lots of speculation about soft vs hard landing, speed of rate cuts, etc. I'm really not sure what I even think will happen to things like DXY and BTC in the near future, but I do know that TA says DXY should have support here and if it doesn't hold it's likely going to lead to more continuation down. This 100 area has been strong support since Feb 2023. This is the fifth or sixth test of this area in the last 18 months. Clearly an important spot. Either it's going to break 100 and accelerate to the downside or it's going to hold the current range.

This is both horizontal support and the first retest of the big downtrend breakout from the high in 2022 we got back in April. That also happened to be during a time of war escalation fears from Iran's strikes. Seems likely we will see at least some sort of bounce, but this could be the time it breaks and it would probably be a big time break. DXY has been in this range from ~100-105 for over a year. It's gonna move quick if it does break down, I'm pretty sure of that much at least.