$DXY and Inflation

22 Tem 2020

DXY, the U.S. Dollar Currency Index has been steadily declining for some time now. Based on a chart analysis, we can see a double-top formation followed by a price consolidation that ultimately led to a breakdown once closing under a support trend line. After a fall of about 4%, an attempt was made to retrace. After a pullback, a second attempt was made, but that uptrend was much weaker, leading to the current downtrend. (Also noteworthy is the death cross of the 50SMA below the 200SMA which was followed by a strong bearish candle the next day). As the USD's value falls, we are getting closer to inflation, however it is approaching a support line. Additionally, GLD and SLV, the Gold and Silver ETFs have been on a strong bull run lately. While DXY may look to reverse back into a stronger value area, Silver and Gold, which are strong fallbacks when the value of the USD decreases, may look to pair the DXY reversal with an inverse price action.