CRCL | Long | Strong Institutional | (June 30, 2025)

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CRCL | Long | Strong Institutional & Regulatory Tailwinds | (June 30, 2025)

1️⃣ Insight Summary:
Circle (CRCL) recently pulled back after a massive IPO surge but is showing a strong bounce from key technical levels. With new stablecoin regulations coming and big partnerships, this could be setting up for another move higher.

2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry: Around $180 (supported by value area low, VWAP, and Fibonacci levels)
Stop Loss: $148 (Golden Fibonacci zone and recent key support)
TP1: $225
TP2: $265
Final Target: $378

3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ CRCL was listed at $31 on June 5 and exploded nearly 700% to highs around $248 before pulling back ~24% on profit-taking and macro rate pressures.
✅ Major fundamental drivers include the GENIUS Act for stablecoin clarity, and big institutional partnerships (Fiserv, PayPal, Mastercard, Shopify, Ripple).
✅ Technical dynamics also show heavy short interest (~45% of volume) and high borrowing costs, which could lead to a strong short squeeze.
❌ Main risks: High valuation concerns (Compass Point targets $205), heavy exposure to interest rate changes, and rising competition in the stablecoin space (USDT, Diem, etc.).

4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
I’ll continue monitoring price action near $225 and $265 for partial exits and updates if momentum accelerates or structure changes.

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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.

5 saat önce

Not

(01.07.2025)
The money is still flowing in circles, so I’m still looking for clean signs and watching the circle carefully for any manipulation or other signals.

Right now, I see a potential red candle — one manipulation move already happened in the market. The money is still flowing in, so it looks like a liquidity grab to me. I’m still aiming for higher prices, and I’ll keep watching this liquidity grab around the circle and on the bounce, maybe even a W formation.

I’m looking for higher prices to reach our first take profit area (the body high). But if things turn against me and we go lower, it might hit my stop loss. I’ll be adjusting it, which is always more annoying and disappointing