The recent test of sub-$70 oil prices appears to have been met with significant buying interest, potentially setting the stage for a reversal back above the $77 mark. The presence of a long wick followed by an inside bar could signal further upward momentum.
Bull Case:
There's strong evidence of support, particularly from the buying activity observed a few days ago. Although we remain in a bearish stance, having not closed above $77.58, breaching this level could set us on a direct path towards retesting the $95 level.
Bear Case:
However, it's critical to consider the inability of oil prices to break through the monthly or weekly downtrend angles. The notion of retesting $95 seems overly optimistic at this stage. It's more realistic to anticipate a rebalance at the bearish candle, tempering expectations. The $77.58 mark could act as a formidable barrier, potentially driving prices back down to around $67.
Conclusion:
The market is currently exhibiting a wedging pattern, which is generally unfavorable for long-term positions. Should we witness an opening and closing above this bearish order block, it may pave the way for a retest of the $80 levels.
Bull Case:
There's strong evidence of support, particularly from the buying activity observed a few days ago. Although we remain in a bearish stance, having not closed above $77.58, breaching this level could set us on a direct path towards retesting the $95 level.
Bear Case:
However, it's critical to consider the inability of oil prices to break through the monthly or weekly downtrend angles. The notion of retesting $95 seems overly optimistic at this stage. It's more realistic to anticipate a rebalance at the bearish candle, tempering expectations. The $77.58 mark could act as a formidable barrier, potentially driving prices back down to around $67.
Conclusion:
The market is currently exhibiting a wedging pattern, which is generally unfavorable for long-term positions. Should we witness an opening and closing above this bearish order block, it may pave the way for a retest of the $80 levels.
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Sometime you have to take a step back to make a better step forward.
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.
Sometime you have to take a step back to make a better step forward.
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.