Pattern Formation: Bullish Cup & Handle Breakout Setup
The price action on this CHF/USD 1-hour chart exhibits a Cup & Handle pattern, which is a well-known bullish continuation setup. This pattern suggests that buyers are gradually gaining control and a breakout could be imminent.
1️⃣ Understanding the Cup Formation
The cup shape (curved blue line) signifies a gradual accumulation phase, where price initially declined, formed a rounded bottom, and then started recovering.
This indicates that buyers are regaining momentum after a consolidation period.
The lowest point of the cup formed around March 16, from where the price began a steady upward move.
2️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level: The strong demand zone is established around 1.1300 - 1.1320, as shown by multiple price bounces.
Resistance Level & ATH (All-Time High): The price struggled to break 1.1450 - 1.1470, indicating a major resistance zone where sellers previously took control.
3️⃣ Handle Formation & Pullback
After reaching resistance, the price formed a slight retracement (small descending wedge), which created the handle of the pattern.
The pullback was necessary to clear short-term overbought conditions before a potential breakout attempt.
4️⃣ Trading Strategy & Price Projection
🔹 Entry & Breakout Confirmation
If CHF/USD breaks above 1.1450 - 1.1470 with volume confirmation, this will validate the Cup & Handle breakout.
A confirmed breakout suggests further upside momentum toward 1.1570 - 1.1600, aligning with the pattern’s measured move.
🔹 Stop-Loss Placement
A logical stop-loss should be placed below the handle’s low (~1.1300 - 1.1320), in case of a false breakout or sudden market reversal.
🔹 Target Projection Based on Pattern Measurement
The height of the cup (~200 pips from bottom to resistance) is projected upwards from the breakout level.
This results in a take-profit target of 1.1575 - 1.1600.
5️⃣ Additional Technical Confluences
✅ Trendline Support: The price is respecting an ascending trendline, indicating continued higher lows and bullish sentiment.
✅ Bullish Momentum: The series of higher lows confirms a strong uptrend, favoring buyers.
✅ Potential Fakeout Risks: A failed breakout below 1.1300 could invalidate the bullish outlook, leading to a deeper retracement.
6️⃣ Final Thoughts: Is This a Good Setup?
📌 Overall Bias: Bullish ✅
📌 Breakout Confirmation Needed: Above 1.1450 - 1.1470
📌 Target: 1.1570 - 1.1600 🎯
📌 Risk Management: Stop-loss below 1.1300
If CHF/USD sustains momentum above resistance, traders can anticipate a strong bullish rally toward the projected target. However, it’s essential to wait for confirmation before entering long positions. 📈🔥
The price action on this CHF/USD 1-hour chart exhibits a Cup & Handle pattern, which is a well-known bullish continuation setup. This pattern suggests that buyers are gradually gaining control and a breakout could be imminent.
1️⃣ Understanding the Cup Formation
The cup shape (curved blue line) signifies a gradual accumulation phase, where price initially declined, formed a rounded bottom, and then started recovering.
This indicates that buyers are regaining momentum after a consolidation period.
The lowest point of the cup formed around March 16, from where the price began a steady upward move.
2️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level: The strong demand zone is established around 1.1300 - 1.1320, as shown by multiple price bounces.
Resistance Level & ATH (All-Time High): The price struggled to break 1.1450 - 1.1470, indicating a major resistance zone where sellers previously took control.
3️⃣ Handle Formation & Pullback
After reaching resistance, the price formed a slight retracement (small descending wedge), which created the handle of the pattern.
The pullback was necessary to clear short-term overbought conditions before a potential breakout attempt.
4️⃣ Trading Strategy & Price Projection
🔹 Entry & Breakout Confirmation
If CHF/USD breaks above 1.1450 - 1.1470 with volume confirmation, this will validate the Cup & Handle breakout.
A confirmed breakout suggests further upside momentum toward 1.1570 - 1.1600, aligning with the pattern’s measured move.
🔹 Stop-Loss Placement
A logical stop-loss should be placed below the handle’s low (~1.1300 - 1.1320), in case of a false breakout or sudden market reversal.
🔹 Target Projection Based on Pattern Measurement
The height of the cup (~200 pips from bottom to resistance) is projected upwards from the breakout level.
This results in a take-profit target of 1.1575 - 1.1600.
5️⃣ Additional Technical Confluences
✅ Trendline Support: The price is respecting an ascending trendline, indicating continued higher lows and bullish sentiment.
✅ Bullish Momentum: The series of higher lows confirms a strong uptrend, favoring buyers.
✅ Potential Fakeout Risks: A failed breakout below 1.1300 could invalidate the bullish outlook, leading to a deeper retracement.
6️⃣ Final Thoughts: Is This a Good Setup?
📌 Overall Bias: Bullish ✅
📌 Breakout Confirmation Needed: Above 1.1450 - 1.1470
📌 Target: 1.1570 - 1.1600 🎯
📌 Risk Management: Stop-loss below 1.1300
If CHF/USD sustains momentum above resistance, traders can anticipate a strong bullish rally toward the projected target. However, it’s essential to wait for confirmation before entering long positions. 📈🔥
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Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.