Analysis of BTC/USDT 2D Chart (July 7, 2025)

4 gün önce

This updated chart for BTC/USDT continues to support a macro bullish structure, offering two main paths from the $109K zone. Below is a consolidated technical and strategic breakdown of the chart you just uploaded, with refined annotations and updated trade logic:

📊 Chart Summary – Two Key Scenarios
🔹 Current Price: ~$108,450
🔹 Resistance: $111,980
🔹 Support Zone: $75,000–$77,500
🟢 Scenario A: Bullish Breakout to $150,000
Structure:

BTC is currently consolidating just below $111,980 resistance.

Forming a bullish continuation triangle (compressed range into resistance).

Breakout Potential: Symmetry projection shows a ~100% rally in ~103–108 days—similar to prior cycles.

Target Zones:

Target 1: $132,000 (previous 100% measured move)

Target 2: $150,000 (1.618 Fib extension)

Volume Behaviour:

Increasing volume near breakout

Volatility compression before expansion (classic of breakout setups)

📈 Signal to Enter: Break and daily close above $112K confirms breakout — initiating aggressive long setups targeting $132K–$150K.

🔻 Scenario B: Bearish Pullback to $75K–$77K Before Next Leg Up
Structure:

Price could reject the $111K zone and revisit previous demand base around $75K.

This would mirror the past March–May correction (50% drop → recovery).

Converges with:

38.2% retracement = $77,422

50% retracement = $67,475

Bullish long-term trendline support

Implication:

This would be a healthy correction rather than trend reversal

Reaccumulating opportunity for long-term traders

📉 Signal to Enter: Pullback and bullish structure confirmation around $75K–$77K. Look for volume spike, price rejection wicks, or bullish engulfing candles.

📐 Technical Levels Recap
Type Level Significance
Resistance $111,980 Major breakout trigger
Support 1 $89,730 Shallow retracement zone (23.6%)
Support 2 $77,422 Strong historical bounce zone (38.2%)
Support 3 $67,475 Deep reaccumulating zone (50%)
Target 1 $132,000 100% symmetrical move
Target 2 $150,000+ 1.618 Fib extension – full euphoric top

🧠 Strategy Notes
📍 Already Long from ~$82K?
Use trailing stop around $98K–$101K

Let the position run into strength but be protected against the pullback scenario

📍 Looking to Enter Fresh?
Wait for clean breakout above $112K — confirms continuation

OR, enter near $75K–$77K on corrective retest with bullish confirmation signals

🔄 Chart Pattern Comparison:
Period Rally Size Duration Result
Sep–Dec 2024 +106% ~100 days Hit $109K
Jul–Nov 2025* +100% est. ~103 days Projected $150K

✅ Final Thought:
This reanalysis confirms that BTC remains in a macro bullish structure, either rallying to $150K directly or after a controlled retest of $75K. Both offer trade setups, and risk can be tightly managed by using key fib levels and support zones.

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