Price bounced off the Bear Day level (~$94,700) with a strong reaction, showing that buyers are defending this zone. This could indicate that the downside momentum is fading. Resistance Tests:
BTC tested the Bull Day zone (~$96,800) but faced rejection, indicating resistance. However, price is consolidating just below this level, signaling a possible breakout attempt. Volume and Activity:
The recent consolidation shows reduced volatility, which often precedes a significant breakout. Volume patterns could provide additional confirmation. Bullish Indications:
The Bullish Week support (~$97,200) remains intact and could act as the next target if BTC breaks through $96,800 convincingly. Higher lows are forming near $95,600-$96,000, indicating a bullish structure if maintained. Bearish Risks:
Failure to reclaim and hold above the Bull Day zone ($96,800-$97,200) could result in a retracement to test the Close Week support ($95,200) again. A loss of this support level would negate the bullish setup and signal more downside. Is a Large Move to the Upside Likely? BTC is setting up for a potential upside move, but confirmation is needed:
Bullish confirmation: A breakout above $96,800-$97,200 with strong volume would likely trigger a move towards $98,400 and possibly higher. Bearish invalidation: A breakdown below $95,200 could trigger further downside to the Bear Day zone (~$94,800). Key Levels to Watch: Upside targets: $96,800, $97,200, and $98,400 (Bullish Swing level). Downside risk levels: $95,600, $95,200, and $94,800. Conclusion: The market structure is leaning towards a bullish breakout if BTC can clear the nearby resistance zones. However, keep an eye on volume and lower supports for invalidation of the setup.
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