BITCOIN - What Comes First: 90k or 70k

My BTC question is: what is the probability that we reverse without tagging key Support @ $71,363 keeping in mind we have attempted to get above $92,272 and failed and keeping in mind that Bitcoin is struggling to hold above $90k? But remember price doesn't move in a straight line and if everyone is short then we might have an aggressive move to the upside before we set a new low