Bitcoin - Bears in control: Back to $103k

3 Haz

Price just swept the 1-hour and 4-hour swing highs, grabbing liquidity from anyone who had stops above the high. This was followed by an immediate and aggressive selloff, showing a clear bearish displacement. That move confirms smart money was unloading into retail longs, and we now have a shift in momentum pointing down.

Liquidity Sweep and Displacement Context
The sweep of the high was immediately followed by a strong bearish displacement. There was no hesitation after the breakout, which confirms this wasn’t a real breakout but a stop hunt. The reaction tells us that price was tapping into a key supply area or simply running out of buying interest above the high. This kind of rejection usually signals that smart money is positioning for a move lower.

Fair Value Gap and Pullback Zone
The drop left behind a clear 1-hour Fair Value Gap, sitting just below the swept high, between roughly $105,600 and $106,000. Price hasn’t returned to it yet, which opens the possibility for a short-term retracement back into that imbalance before continuation. That FVG becomes the main short entry zone, if price trades back into it, it’s likely to reject again.

Bearish Target and Market Structure Outlook
If we retrace into the FVG and reject, I expect a break of the recent short-term low around $104,300. That level will act as the first sign of bearish continuation. If that goes, there’s clean liquidity sitting below near the higher-timeframe low in the $103,600 zone. That’s the larger target for this setup, sweeping those lows would complete the move.

Conclusion
This is a clean high sweep followed by strong displacement and an unfilled FVG. If price trades back into that imbalance and shows rejection, I’m expecting continuation lower, with targets at $104,300 and ultimately down to $103,600.

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3 Haz

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Bitcoin has a strong bullish candle, could be filling the 4h gap