Alış

BTCUSD with a nice Pop, what's NEXT? Bitcoin retrace watch

Güncellendi

Nice pop in Bitcoin Price.

What's Next?
Bear Market over?
Bulls back in control?
I don't know. But I do know what I am looking for.

I have drawn fibs (extensions) to measure the current move.
I found two impulses (initial push) that made ripples of perfect multiples.
So where those ripples overlap will be the mostly like turning points.

The current top around 7600 was an exact confluence of Fib extensions from both impulses.
ALSO the Monthly Central Pivot was these, causing may bulls to take profit (including me).
So a retrace is pretty much assured at this point. Question is retrace how deep?

I will be watching the areas marked with Green boxes in main chart.
Those green zones are areas of Fib overlaps, each being a possible bounce point.
So I have 3 good buy zones to watch. Might have just missed a scalp entry, but I think it will offer better buying price.

So now I wait, watch, measure.
Will update as things develop.

Disclaimer: I currently own some Bitcoin, have sold a bunch just now, hoping to buy it back lower.

Not

The first possibility I am watching for:

will be observing the EW micro wave structures for clues.

Not

Short term Price moves matching expectations thus far

Not

BTC still in perfect sync with longer term fibs (grey) as seen by the tiny moves just now (blue) fib on 1min chart

All of those Grey Zones were posted on June 30th

Not

BTCUSD Fibonacci Support Resistance Zones: Bitcoin as of Jun 30

Not

Follow up to path shown three pictures above.
Looks like ABC shaping up about as expected

Not

I forgot to note the Monthly R1 and Central pivots.
The Monthly central would be added support for my ''Ideal'' entry

Not

Close up again.
Am about to minor adjustments to the wave count, but wanted to post my original pot one last time.

Not

Minor adjustment to the wave count.
But target still looks viable.

Not

Hmm, currently stuck within the Pink fib lines in pic

I am still thinking at least a 7k retest before trying to break thru the clear resistance above, But it will require a strong
wave 3 down, which perhaps EU/UK will bring about in n the next 1-2 hours...

Not

Argh! BTC whales not giving us plebs entry ops, just keep pushing higher...

Not

well, this count was obviously WRONG :(
Observing and re-calculating now.

Not

Price continues to evade my EW paths.
But it can not avoid the Fibs.
Am rethinking the EW counts now

Not

Have been wrong with my EW counts, so re-evaluated.
The more valid count looks to be in this pic:

I thought wave 5 had ended already, but now it seems that wave 5 as an abcde ending diagonal maybe? Regardless, my target entry points are still the same, as not much else has changed in terms of fibs.

Not

OK, new fib to gauge possible retrace now.
The new Fib's 1.618 and 2.618 extensions land exactly with previous zones.
So a) confirms new fib is in same rhythm and b) reinforces the two circled zones.

Not

Wow, gotta love whale manipulation.
But they can't escape the laws of Fibsycs.

Closeup of the small tf Purple fib, with extensions on both sides.

Not

Here we are, at my first possible buy zone.

I did have a small limit buy in that zone (scalp size). not very confident it will fly, but had to take the shot.

Not

Pleasantly surprised by the bounce thus far.

Not a huge bounce but bears stopped selling and bulls bought some (including yours truly)

Not

Scalp well in profit.
It bounced exactly where I had hoped, broke through first resistance above, not up against the next resistance band. I might take some profit here soon.

Not

Possible next targets.
If buying power persists, price should break 7500 walls and go a little higher.

Not

Another support established at 7350?

Not

Well here we are at those ''Several Strong Fibs''

Zoomed out, that zone is quite familiar.

There is a lot of resistance here.
BUT the fact that bulls are tapping the ceiling repeatedly increases the chances of breaking it.

If price does break higher, it might be headed for 7800, the next fib confluence.

Not

OOPS, typo above, meant to type:
7600 next as in ''might be headed for 7600.

Not

Spiked above zone to take out Bear Stops, then dove again to take out longs.

Not

Hmm, maybe this?

Not

There were two distinct impulses up (blue and green).
Those two dropped ''stones'' caused ripples upwards in price.

Notice the precise touches of the various Fib ratios of each impulse. The next important confluence is 8370 - 8415 zone (rounded)

Not

A tale of three fibs

EuroMotif

the Golden Ratio is my Religion
the Trading View is my Nation
the Moderator Tag is my Flag

İlgili yayınlar

BTCUSD Fibonacci Support Resistance Zones: Bitcoin as of Jun 30

EuroMotif tarafından

Feragatname

Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.