American Bitcoin holders you may have a problem! 2025 prediction

16 Kas 2024

I'm just going to say what everyone else refuse to say These planned tariffs could cripple Bitcoin & the cryptomarket!
🤯 you have until Jan
BTCUSD
BTCUSDT
ETHUSD
ETHUSDT

Read on for more details:

16 Kas 2024

İşlem aktif

The potential impact of a Donald Trump presidency on Bitcoin's price in 2025 and beyond is uncertain and speculative, as it would depend on a variety of factors, including Trump's policies, the broader economic environment, and market sentiment at the time.

However; Several key variables could influence Bitcoin's trajectory under Trump and the soon to be total controlling Republican administration, including but not limited to the currently announced tariffs, and the efforts to pass regressive conservative laws under project 2025. But to give a better understanding of where this might lead we'll focus mainly on the tariffs Trump and his administration are planning to pass and will be in effect come Jan 27, 2025.

The likely impact on crypto and the global market as a whole is staggering, for example the impact on Tech and Mining alone will drive up the price only to see it sharply crash due to the massive sell off of bitcoin holders that want to survive these 4 years of Trump's Tariffs - if they last that long.

For example: Bitcoin mining is heavily reliant on hardware and energy costs. If tariffs were imposed on mining equipment (often imported from China or other countries), it could increase costs for miners, which might reduce Bitcoin's overall supply or shift mining operations. This could impact the network and potentially cause volatility and not in a good way that's beneficial to the crypto market.

On November 8th 2024 -

The Republican party announced that Project 2025 is to be the main focused agenda - this is not a good thing for the crypto market.

If this is the case this would mean the Federal reserve is not active or none-existent under Trump and the Republican Party for the next 4 years, if they forced to remove the Federal reserve chairman who has stated he will refuse nor can he be removed.

However; if he could be removed due to project 2025 agenda, where as all branches of the government fall under the presidents control and if the chairman is removed. This is not ideal as no knowledge on inflation means the market is walking blind and is likely collapsing due to Trump's tariffs still being active by Jun 2025.

With these tariffs in place the likely case that China has a banned on both imports and exports from the US and likely banned bitcoin and crypto as a whole since 37.8% bitcoin miners are located in the US and are going to be suffering from these tariffs.

It's a likelihood by Jan 27 which is the date tariffs are to be enacted by the Republicans, will likely force many bitcoin miners to sell all their shares just to keep the lights on.

Trump made promises to those interested in crypto as investors, that I'm certain he won't be keeping.

The factors that lead to Bitcoin finally becoming an ETF under the Democrats may now be its undoing,
where as the Republican party will likely force sanctions or taxations on crypto investors
it's a highly likely possible outcome due to these Trump tariffs doing a great amount of damage to
the US economy that the Republican ran government has to find a solution outside of removing those
Tariffs with a likelihood they won't lift them with or without Trump being in office due to his age.

Republicans don't fully require Trump to keep these tariffs in place, and the economic damage it will
cause is high, that's why the stock market are in an uproar as they fear much of the US economy
will tank, and sadly they crypto market may follow suit.


Closer look 2025 to 2026


These are some of the possible outcomes along with what could cause these events with the Tariffs in place:

Economic Uncertainty: Tariffs could lead to trade disruptions, inflation, or market volatility. In times of economic uncertainty, investors sometimes turn to Bitcoin as a hedge, driving its price higher. However, if tariffs lead to a broader economic slowdown, the opposite could happen, with Bitcoin's value falling alongside traditional markets.

Impact on Tech and Mining: Bitcoin mining is heavily reliant on hardware and energy costs. If tariffs were imposed on mining equipment (often imported from China or other countries), it could increase costs for miners, which might reduce Bitcoin's overall supply or shift mining operations. This could impact the network and potentially cause volatility.

Global Market Effects: Bitcoin is a global asset, and tariffs can have far-reaching effects on international trade and investor sentiment. If Trump's tariffs were to significantly affect global trade or lead to a currency devaluation, Bitcoin might see price fluctuations as investors react to these changes.

Dollar Strength: Tariffs often affect the value of the U.S. dollar. If tariffs weaken the dollar, Bitcoin may rise as investors look for alternatives to the dollar. Conversely, if tariffs result in a strong dollar due to economic policies, Bitcoin could face downward pressure as it competes with traditional assets.

What might trigger these are many factors.

But what is most noticeable is the fact of Trump's cabinet picks, none of whom have experience in any of these branches of government, all if not most of them are war hawks, conspiracy theorist and enablers of the now 47th presidents ego. None of whom will not likely to talk Trump into ending the tariffs and likely will do their best to milk as much as possible from the chaus that comes from them being active, but what is most surprising is the effect this has on that of Elon Musk position at the white house. He was basically demoted and placed in a non-existent department that is neither funded nor approved by congress, even still it may not have a budget of no more than 12 to 18 months.

Elon is the self proclaimed spokesperson for crypto, yet he's been demoted to a job outside of Trump's office, in other words he's been played like many of the republicans who voted for Trump.

So Elon may as well be the first of many to be removed out of the inner circle of Trump's administration, and the crypto market investors maybe the ones who pay the price for it.

this among other issues that could take place with these tariffs if they get passed and enacted Jan 27, 2025.

So enjoy your All Time High while you can - it will be crashing whether you want it too or not.

16 Kas 2024

Not

Will be updating this situation as it progresses.

17 Kas 2024

Not

I have a few questions in my inbox that would be better suited if I answer them here, so that everyone is inform.

One of many question were

Question #1.

I'm very curious, how far it will fall?

I mean, the analysis for the bitcoin. Many people don't realize, that this could be serious problem.
that this could be serious problem. Also, Trump behaves like our prime minister in ########, everything he tells or promises is a lie and then is doing the opposite way.

Answer:

Bitcoin will likely fall to the 60k to 50k and holding for the first 2 months of the Trump administration, if tariffs are still in place and China decided to banned US trading due to failed negotiation for things such as materials or goods that are not financially related.


China been wanting to do a crypto ban for the longest this will justify it even more, but they will likely hold off for a time to collect on the funds they can before banning it outright.

Then the market will likely fall further to the 40k. Keep in mind China is just one of the places most bitcoin miners get their tech to mine, add that with the cost of keeping things running well the bitcoin supply has become even more limited, and the cost of living has gone up!

Well 6 months go by Trump and the Republican party refuse to lift those tariffs, however; pressure may force Trump and congress to likely appeal to the public, so TAX CUTS all around. Bitcoin goes up to 60k - These excite the rich billionaires and mostly silent the confused lower to middle class believing this will relieve some of the pressure with these tariffs. But the value of the dollar will likely drop due to the tax cuts and the factor most nations internatally are trying to move away from the dollar overall.

1 year later negotiations between China and the US fail again to lift these tariffs now both China and the US do trade bans on all forms of trades including that on financial levels this includes crypto which is traded internationally and both the US and China have the largest amount of miners between the two world wide.

At that point between whales buying up what becomes available from the number of small investors and selling to make a quick buck, companies holding since the 90k rise - sell off all their crypto, and those still holding the bag in hopes that it'll payoff or make back what they lost will see it crash from the 60k to the likely 30k, or more. Max drop 10k, too many investors will be holding onto hope that when Trump is out of office they may benefit from this madness, and likely will once the storm is gone, but the crashing may not be over yet as there is still 2 to 3 years left and it's unknown how the market will look at this time and this doesn't even include a possibility that they start taxing or adding santions to crypto companies an investors to make up for the financial windfall seeing how republicans are no different than that of Warren Buffett who in fact loves the dollar and despise the crypto market.

This is just one of a few possible scenario that could happen, sadly the market is heading towards a possible decline right into a year long bear season up until October 2025, early Feb 2026, these tariffs might force it to come a lot sooner.

China's importation of cheaper tech needed for US miners to function is cercal, some of that tech is not readily available in the US so supplies of bitcoin will be limited due to the cost. So yes this will affect the market greatly due to the factor that the 2 key nations that are basically the bloodline of the crypto market are basically in a forced trade war. It's out of our hands so the likely causation would be to sell bitcoin and the likely scenario would be the banks and government buys the surplus perhaps lowering the value even further due to the common investor has none to buy, and or taxed for investing, it's not unheard of to happen.

From my research - I discovered that there are a few possible scenarios that will trigger a massive exodus of the crypto market, so you have to keep this in mind anything can change everything is hypothetical until it happens, but there are to many terrifying conditions that are being met to create the perfect storm to see a collapse in both the crypto market and the stock market.


The crypto market world wide will feel the effects but will survive and likely may come out on top as the dollar suffers from these tariffs - or if the tariffs are successful with doing as they are suppose to do choke hold international governments to rely on the dollar, increasing it's value which crypto can benefit from that but will still be costly trying to survive the 4 years while these tariffs are in place.

So yes these tariffs will be bad for crypto investors if places like china decided to banned US trade outright including financial trading as well, too many factors are currently possible come January 2025, bitcoin and much of crypto will survive but crippled and will likely lose much of the current market Alts and or blockchines that are foreign based but it will survive.

Sending bitcoin into a likely fall to 30k or less, best thing to do is just try and survive this first year.

18 Kas 2024

Not

Question #2.

When do you believe the tariffs will be lifted and if so what do you think will happen to the US and will it effect Bitcoin or crypto in general when this is over?

Thank you for your great analyst it's helping me a lot.

Answer: This will be long sorry.
_________________________________________
In general I believe from both what I found through research and notable connections, the US is screwed as a super power, here's the issue - it's not just the weapons and manpower that made this a strong nation but the factor that the US dollar was the most valued among other currencies out there, this is where things become horrific for us as an American citizen if these tariffs are even remotely active.

The US not only alienates other nations from using any resources but it effects the globe economy as a whole and instead of nations relying on the American dollar and or resources from the US - this will result in those said nations finding other means of obtaining that said resource, which also means other nations currencies gain more value as the dollar slips further for every month the tariffs are in place.

Note:
The bitcoin value will go up every time the dollar loses value - yes, however if other forms of currencies such as the Chinese Yuan going from $0.10 on the dollar to $0.50 overnight due to the tariffs being in effect. Shockingly these tariffs will have the opposite effects and the Dollar may in fact lose value as nations devalue and remove the US supply of the dollar out of circulation.

I believe this has been in the process for many years now since Trump was in office in 2018 involving many nations not friendly with the US.



For example China was once reliant on American soybeans as it's not naturally grown in China, when the nation ignited a trade war with the US on goods due to their unlawful infringement on copyright among other international crimes with Hollywood and Trump in 2017, China eventually decided to issue their own tariffs which in fact boosted their economy greatly due to the laws they have in their country and the demand from US businesses to trade Chinese goods at a low cost.

China would later decide that the reliance on the US for things such as soybeans which was 40% at the time - was a problem after the Trump trade war in his first term, this set the stage for what is basically to come next year when these tariffs are in place. China would later decide to opted out of trading with the US and choose to trade with other nations instead for things such as soybeans, from my research they trade with Brazil for soybeans and even corn and are currently trading at 70% as Chinas lead supplier.

The US was trading soybeans at 40% export with China which brought in about $43 billion, after they decided to trade with Brazil - both corn and soybean dropped to $30 billion and in further decline and will likely do the same to other markets in the US if these tariffs are indeed enacted.

If these tariffs hit say on the day Trump enters office and does the day one signings, that price drops to $0 in agricultural trade and that's $30 billion lost, as China has other suppliers that replaced the US at 100%.
____________________________________________________________________
This is why those on wall street are panicking - these tariffs might indeed be the end of the US economy, and no Bitcoin is not the saving grace people like moonbois make it out to be.
____________________________________________________________________

18 Kas 2024

Not

The US dollar suffers as more types of trade that the US required as far as exports are concern are quickly dissolving with this banana republic in office, as other nations will problably do the same as china and banned imports and exports from the US as away to say F-U to Trump and the Republican party. This also may in fact be the end of the Republican party as well if these tariffs backfire and cost the US trillions - and before you say it - yes bitcoin gains value because the dollar lost value, however; this is not a good thing as bitcoin becomes partly worthless if China and many other nations banned all trade with the US and the price of bitcoin collapses as a result.

But lets say bitcoin doesn't leave the $200,000 mark and that's the overall value internationally, what happens if you try and trade it in the US?

Well it can't be traded for a whole US dollar if the value of the dollar is at 0.50, that's right, meaning if you paid today for bitcoin at $20,000 a share for 1 share, and wanted to sell your shares at the price of the dollar after the tariffs drop the US dollar down to less than $0.50 - you only get back $1,000 for that single share.

So you actually lost money.

Bitcoin could be sitting at $200,000 a share but no one tells you the cost of the conversion rate for your local government, which the conversion must come at the rate of your countries currency, so those living in the US wanting to covert bitcoin to a dollar to make a profit after the US dollar drops to a record low of $0.50 per every former $1.00 on a bitcoin you end up broker when you first bought into it before the tariffs.

Hate my statement but Warren Buffett was correct when it comes to this situation with these tariffs


What would make this even worse but the likelihood that crypto currency would only be targeted by the US as away to alleviate the stress from the tariffs - a major tax will likely be added to bitcoin transactions upon selling it for a profit dropping the value even further. So say goodbye to alt coins because they are likely next to go if they haven't been banned outright if they are reality to a foreign nation such as Shiba Inu which will die if banned by China and hit by US regulations.

Companies like Coinbase will likely suffer US embargos due to their location being in a blue state and restrictions with china will do some major damage overall.

But Crypto will survive, crippled by regulations - pricy as hell and within about 5 to 10 years will likely recover, but majorly the rich today maybe the only ones to benefit as holders at the returning price of 10,000 a share, as the US dollar from my forecast by Trump and the Republicans 3 year in office would have dropped substantially, with lost trades and no options to gain any of them back as they are themed independent, it will take a few wars with smaller nations and a bit of corruption for the US dollar to bounce back. by that time crypto would be highly valued world wide, with bitcoin being the likely forerunner.

But keep in mind these are all hypothetical, the Republicans could change their minds at any given time.

18 Kas 2024

Not

Apologies for the conversion rate forgot a 0, it'll be "$10,000 American dollars" if you bought BTC when it was at $20,000 a share and it's sitting at 200,000 a share internationally, if the US Dollar drops in value to 0.50 with these tariffs in place and you sold for a return you'll only be getting less than 0.50 on the original dollar resulting in it being less than $10,000 much less than you paid for a single share.

Wanted to prevent confusion.

20 Kas 2024

Not

Question #3.
This one is a very interesting question that I really wanted to answer out of the few I had short answers for so this one will be lengthy.

So the question is:

"My colleagues and I follow your page and enjoy your updates and predictions, each one you been spot on with every update. However; two of them think your latest post about the tariffs damaging crypto is delusional, and you are dead wrong about the threat they represent.

My colleagues and I in the discord disagree with them and feel as though we trust your input on this situation about these tariffs, so I wanted to ask your thoughts on what you believe will happen in both the short term and the long term, perhaps they will be more convince by your work on this subject."

"Thank you for your hard work."

________________________________________

This one will be a long response and to be honest with you from my research on the tariffs, that's not the only issue that will crush the US economy so there is no short answer to this I can give, so bear with me.
________________________________________

Beginning with the short term effects these tariffs might have on the US economy, which could last up to 40 years, as I said bear with me.

However before I answer this question - 🤔if you're wondering which one is the most beneficial to a single American citizen.

If its the short term:
It's only beneficial to the Ultra wealthy or those who have the funds to survive much of the first year of madness that will ensue the US economy totaling the entire 4 years of Trumps presidency or longer, and I mean you'll have to be in the Billions not in the millions of dollars in wealth to survive, as the window of preparation has basically closed or at least it will be in a another month.

Long term: in short
Once again the only one's benefiting is the Ultra rich more likely their children in 20 to 40 years, however their are two paths this could take, and I'm starting with the not so possible to happen path since it's basically in the Republican handbook of project 2025; I'll call it the Path to the MAGA Dream, which sadly I have to tell you it will never happen, and they likely doomed themselves in the short term, but I'll include it anyway to please the reader that wants to know.

Path to the MAGA Dream"
It's sunshine and no rainbows and everyone that's a blue blooded American is so rich that we don't even need jobs, we hunt all day and have sex all night while cash flowing out the rafters with these automations making Americans richer by the day as jobs are widely available, nations like China and Mexico bend the knee and government spending is finally under control and we're all debt free, God bless America.

Yeah I might sound like an A-hole right now and just so you know - no I'm not woke - but that right there is what we call "nothing but a pipe dream.🤤"

If you want to know the second path for the long term:
In short yeah it's not going to be pretty and to explain it, well it's gonna be after I explain what happens in the short term in detail and the likely effects it will have on Crypto for both.

Sorry in advance this will be a long read:

20 Kas 2024

Not

So I'm certain those reading this are ready to know what benefits if any are going to be coming from these tariffs and how it will effect the US economy on the world stage, or more over how will this effect you as a US citizen or you as a holder of bitcoin.

This might sound like I'm ranting but trust me there is a point to this:

So for better understanding and full context of the short term effects we need to go back to what lead us here and why I believe Trump may be lying about the prospects of crypto being successful in the US and just the US alone.

Let me make this very clear for those in the crypto space or those whom call themselves bulls or moonbois, it is believe that Donald Trump holds a great deal of crypto investment ranging from Bitcoin to XRP to a few Alts but these are based on mostly rumors, as he could be owning a hidden wallet or be full of hot air just to gain/ please voters, it's not unheard of and you can't fully trust a politician and a businessman on his words alone.

but I'm certain you'll need more convincing so case in point:

As of writing this here's a bit of good news for you investors out there looking to buy more instead of being cautionary even though he hasn't been sworn in yet, so anything can happen until he reaches that book and is sworn in.


Here's the issue since everyone is more concerned about bitcoin winning or crypto in general being at an all time high, they're not looking at the bigger picture and much like this topic only looking at the short term gains rather than the long term consequences. As in consequences that could start anywhere from day one of Trumps inauguration to 2 months after those tariffs are enacted, consequences that can last anywhere from 4 years - Trumps term in office to 10 years or longer, once the damage is done, relief doesn't always come swiftly, and the unemployment rate today is at 4.1%. that's 6.984 million Americans. However; if these tariffs among other policies including department cuts, job cuts, and government aid cuts, mass deportations, and etc takes place then that unemployment rate doubles and that's not even including the government jobs.



As a Bitcoin crypto investor you were promised a host of many things from Trump - list below just to name a few.


I would be defending Trump as well with those types of promises to miners and crypto investors, it excited so many so much that even companies like Robinhood took advantage of these promises and allowed coins like XRP and what most people deem as useless meme coins like PEPE on to the platform.

But here's the issue, there is an old saying for this:

If it sounds too good to be true, it probably is.
Meaning there is likely something wrong with this that they know but aren't telling you.

Most notably that of Elon Musk, who may have had a hand in convincing a 78 year old Donald Trump that crypto is a wises investment you'll ever make and with these tariffs coming crypto will skyrocket to the moon making them both very rich men. Elon is predominately Doge friendly and is opting to increase his return on that investment, right now, not in 4 years not in 2 years, right now. Bitcoin is nearing 100k who's to say he won't pull out like he did with Doge a few years back. Need I remind you when he first announce his bid with Doge - it rose to $0.70 but after a SNL skit he was on involving a court room, Doge shockingly crashed dramatically back to $0.25. So Elon has his hands in the cookie jar and may be playing Trump and many crypto investors for his own gains - again.

Now you're probably thinking - well what does Elon have to do with these tariffs or anything Trump might do in his second term.

Honestly if you can see the images listed below you tell me:

Ever since he bought twitter and supported Trump he's stock prices have doubled.

when the tariffs are in place if they are still the goal for this administration, Elon would have what is rightfully known as insider trading, which is illegal, sell all his stock just in time for the tariffs to be in full effect. Markets crash, he's safe from harm and voilà; he has cornered the markets in the US and can buy up cheap without intervention or investigation, seeing how he'll just fire them since he's now head of the second seat to the president, no one elected him for but some how he is the second most powerful man in the US but what ever I guess.

This is corruption 101 kids.

His AI project is delayed by the government and under probing due to multiple deaths.

Under Trump with Elon Musk influence he can lift those investigations and even cover up any future accidents if he so need too. So that means any human rights violations are considered a justified action, hopefully he's not completely above the law.

Most notably Elon Musk is abandoning China for reason of likely being threaten.
There was an article about Elon having issues with the Chinese government
I can't find it anywhere, I believe it was around the time Trump issued his first tariffs on China
I could be wrong but if anyone else has seen it let me know in the comments,
Also he's Robots "took our jobs!"
Well not yet but they will soon as he plans to roll them out next year 2025

So how do consumers become consumers with no jobs to make income, then who is the consumers.


Now I know what you're thinking, you don't see a problem here, and I'm just being a massive hater of Elon Musk, and that's where your wrong. I have no hatred towards a man who found away to be successful in life by using cheap labor to get ahead in life, I wish I was in his circle when he decided to make tesla but no I have no hatred towards him. However; read between the lines; Elon will gain the most out of anyone else in these United States, at the cost of millions of American jobs, American families, and American crypto holders.

He's even taken the stage as the riches man in the world, he's smart; he made the right moves made the right calls, and even set himself as the head of the house at the casino, and the house always wins.

Now you're probably asking what does this have to do with crypto and the short term effects, well Elon Musk is one of the catalyst of this mess but he'll own 80% of the US in both businesses and land titles when it's all said and done.

Short term effects:

Elon Musk Wins

Crypto holders, depending if you are still holding or now, lose.

20 Kas 2024

Not

Now here's where the promises Trump stated he would do starting with that of Cary Gensler whom many of the crypto market wants him fired, even though he was one of the reason bitcoin is listed as an ETF.

So you can actually thank him for giving bitcoin the vote it needed for ETF's and getting you the chance to hit 100k, I am highly doubtful who trump wants to replace him with will do any better.


Welp I stand corrected that a damn good pick, I will admit.

However; it's not if Trump keeps his promise to the crypto space, more of a can he keep his promise to the crypto investors before those tariffs do their work.

Yes Trump can attempt to fire U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Gary Gensler in favor of bitcoin and crypto exchanges, however; much like Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, he'll have an uphill legal battle to remove him.



And I will not deny this I would love to have Teresa Goody Guillén for SEC Chair to run things at the SEC, but at the end of the day the Dollar is still the US primary currency and nothing really can change that - not in a few years time. The Dollar is connected to everything and anything American, but this is where the dollar will show signs of dying, to every stock investor, to every Warrnet Buffet out there, her placement as chair would shake the very foundation of the stock market, and likely force a massive sell-off by those who would be crypto deniers. Even worse there is not clue when or if those tariffs have been active.

But this would be considered a W for the crypto space if she is made chair. auto mantic investment so long was the tariffs are yet to be in place, Bitcoin can see a 150 to 200k ATH.

But hopefully that won't be short lived.

20 Kas 2024

Not

Major Update

As of writing this, I had to get some rest but waking up to news - Bidon the Democratic party in what is known as a lame duck session has done some dramatic changes that will definitely impact Trumps and the republican parties abilities to do what they want.

as stated while Trump and some senators were out watching Elon Musk space X and eating McDonalds - the Democratic party been up all night like I was writing this, as they were certifying lifetime Judges that could greatly impact everything Trump and the republican party had planned.


this could mean that - those plans that Trump and the republican party including his new cabinets and any aggressive Project 2025 agendas just went into the trash, Elon Musk might not have the chance to fire thousands of government workers, or allow deportation of millions of those with Latin descent. This means Bidon and the Democratic party threw a Monkey wrench in the republican party plans permanently, this creates a different outcome all together, where Trump will have a mountain of legal battles he'll have to face just to even get a single person forcibly fired or put in office without investigations.

What does this mean over all and how this might affect the crypto market.

This means that project 2025 may in fact be effectively dead on arrival due to Democratic judges abilities to block his presidential orders as unconstitutional - and could dely much of the republicans plans for years up until Trump is out of office.

So what this mean for crypto?

Well this could mean multiple things including but not limited to it being just another Trump 2016 to 2019 presidential run, and likely the government won't be able to fully enact tariffs dude to democratic circuit judges blocking such disputes, then again he may still find loopholes to subvert those judges and enact the tariffs, however if his plans to cut government jobs, blocking his plan for deregulations and the removal of DEI, fire people like that of U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Gary Gensler and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will likely be blocked or deny or sit in a legal battle which could take years.

This includes blocking mass deportations, blocking Trump's plans to cut government funded programs like food stamps and medicaid.


As for crypto, now it truly depends on if Trump keeps his word, if he does then the markets will thrive with a likelihood that tariffs won't be as server or forthcoming, however; bad actors like that of Elon Musk, may not have the Doge department if the judges that have been sworn in overnight by Senator Charles E. Schumer, Elon Musk may likely face lawsuits coming in the thousands, the investigations into his businesses will likely continue or get worse and will likely see a major drop in his stock prices due to the bad news.

If Trump is able to keep his word and Teresa Goody Guillén is elected for SEC Chair in 2 to 3 years, expect crypto to rise substantially, but a bear season is still in range and maybe picking up steam after January 2025, so for now it's business as usual if these Democratic Judges are in place by Trump's inauguration.

Note: due to this news changes to the market environment must be accounted for.
Expect a new chart update in a few weeks as more news arrive.

26 Kas 2024

İşlem kapandı: hedefe ulaştı

In conclusion to this prediction - as you can see there are currently signs of major pull back in the market.

The US dollar DXY is on the decline based on the weekly chart but is adjusting to a bull run on the monthly


and 3 month chart due to the anticipation of the tariffs.


As the dollar rises the likely price of bitcoin will either decline or stagnate but will more likely decline due to the potential inflation rates in the coming 4 years, and possible trade wars the US crypto holder may face.

As a result the price is already in the declining phase on BTC modified 24 hour chart likely stopping point 80k for the time being.


Weekly chart is prepping for its nose dive in a few weeks
likely lasting till march of 2025.


However: it is the 3 month chart that brings me greater concern as the price of bitcoin is headed for a complete decline over the 4 years this presidency will be active, likely holding at the measures of 30k to 20k, with potential to drop to the 10k if inflation have become to unmanageable with these tariffs.


I'm not trying to predict doom and gloom on bitcoin investors but this is what investors asked for with ETF's, it came at the right time for a massive crash lasting until 2027 - 28 - I am predicting some Alts to survive this and others not so much. However there is a silver lining come 2028 which is the next halving. So Crypto will live just at a major discount.

Regardless we are in for a long Republican ran administration in the US so good luck to you all.
&
Happy Trading

20 Ara 2024

Not

MAJOR UPDATE:

Hola Crypto fans.

I hope you all are having a good holiday, an I hope you all took my early warning to heart.

Posted - Nov 26,2024

After the Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell speech on Wednesday Dec 18, 2024, the market has taken a beating as signs may look like a simple dip and many holders are expecting a major rise from said dip, however; because tensions are mounting both domestically and internationally, causing markets to ramp up all this excitement and leading to a Financial Bubble💣 that is ready to💥pop!

So for those currently still new to trading this would not be the idea situation you want to find yourself in, outside of the volatile weekends that see manipulation to the price and attempts at halting the decline, the crypto market is seeing a massive exodus; as the crypto market and much of the stock market is gearing for a (who's left holding the bag) phase. 📉 As the market sees rapid volatility from whiles selling off to risk takers buying the dips and suffering from buying those said dips.

Below is a revised version of the 3 month chart leading into 2028.

24 Oca

Not

President Trump signs an executive order officially banning the creation of a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC).

What does this mean for crypto? WELP the promises made by Trump for crypto may have officially been broken as common stock shareholders are celebrating the news, we'll see but likelihood Crypto may have gotten shafted.

24 Oca

Not

24 Oca

Not