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BTC/USD Technical Analysis – Rising Channel with Macro Risk Cons

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Bitcoin continues to trade within a clearly defined rising channel, maintaining structure and momentum. After a brief pullback attempt, price remains near the upper half of the channel, signaling ongoing bullish pressure.

Key insights:

Price holds above the midline of the ascending channel, suggesting buyer dominance.

OBV indicator supports the bullish momentum.

A notable reduction in the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet (WALCL) may pose a macroeconomic risk to risk-on assets, including crypto.

Technical outlook: As long as BTC remains within the channel, the trend stays bullish. A short-term consolidation may precede further upside potential.

Conclusion: The market structure remains constructive, but macroeconomic developments—particularly Fed balance sheet contraction—should be monitored closely.

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