1.Based on BTC volatility and the speed of construction of tops and bottoms. Short cycle: 30M-2H; medium cycle: 4H-1D; long cycle: 1W-2W. Of course BTC is making history and we should keep adjusting to it. 2.Conclusion:Not a bottom! Short cycle, medium cycle bear market; long cycle bull market. But the strength cannot support a long-cycle bull market going forward. It is likely that this rally will be followed by a long-cycle bear market. 3.The height of this rally is around 48513, but there is also a risk that the top of the rally could see a long pin k of 2000 US dollars
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