Selling Pressure and Overbought Status - Short on BTC H1

14 Eki 2018

BTC rose out of the range we had been exploring for the past three days but strong selling pressure above $6,250 pushed prices back down to test the sideways resistance Bitcoin seemingly broke out from a few hours ago. This sideways resistance is now forming a pennant with the longer-term trend-line. If this selling pressure continues I expect to see Bitcoin break downwards from this pennant and fall back below the sideways resistance.

A couple of other possibilities are highlighted on my chart:

If BTC does not break downward soon we may travel up and along the sideways resistance closer to the pennant's endpoint. Remaining close to the lower boundary is bearish and I would still anticipate a break downward.

If BTC approaches the upper trendline we may break upwards closer to the pennant's endpoint. I don't think this is likely.

14 Eki 2018

Not

Bitcoin has broken downward from the pennant and is following my first path as expected. I am up 2.5% in unrealised profit at the moment.

14 Eki 2018

Not

Closed 50% of my initial short position for 2.65% realised profit.

Holding any open position is very risky at the moment as the market is at a critical decision point so I am being conservative and taking profits.

14 Eki 2018

Not

Closed the remaining 50% of my initial short position for 2% realised profit. Trade is now closed.

BTC is approaching the sideways resistance once again. While there is still potential that we will fall soon, I've closed my short position to preserve profits and will look for another good entry point.

14 Eki 2018

İşlem elle kapatılmış

Final Realised Profit: 2.35%

14 Eki 2018

İşlem aktif

Opened a new short position above $6,200.

16 Eki 2018

Not

Added to my short position at higher levels. Entry price is now $6,350.

I expect BTC to bounce off the long-term trendline and fall again.