I have seen enough ^.^
Crypto traders especially bulls obviously take profit early.
Crypto traders let their losers run.
Crypto traders argue with every one that has a different view than them, regardless of their track record, regardless of their arguments (check the comments in my bearish Bitcoin ideas calling trans-fee exchanges wash trading poinzi's or Tether a huge price pumping ponzi scam surrounded by criminals).
They also look for the magic indicator all the time, they "scale in buy more average down buy the dip" (add to their losers).
They risk money they can't afford to lose because "it's absolutely delusional to think Bitcoin can go to 1500$ let alone 3 digits".
They ignore the news ("it's just noise it's just FUD").
They are "diversifying" "to decrease risk" by buying ... different crypto's, that are all correlated and increase their risk.
They don't trade off fundamental or economic data, "it's just FUD and noise price will go up and 3000 was the bottom because reasons".
They trade without a plan, just based on "gut feeling" and "something they saw" (remember when MPC changed his mind 10 times about bullish/bearish in November to March because of the "latest indicator or fractal" that he saw? He got a donation of 60$ back in december and withdrew it within 1 hour... Doesn't scream successful...)
They have no max risk rule. 2% a trade and 5% a month max risk? Hell no. They are down 30% and will "average down" and risk their entire lifesaving. 0 rule.
And here, I made the top 10 list of beginner traders biggest mistakes. Any legit site/book or even trader with experience will give you approximately the same list.
I did not make up anything in this list it's all verifiable, crypto "investors" or whatever we should call them, make all these mistakes, very easilly verifiable.
Well unless they lie and pretend to be dumb... Then it is harder to verify but I doubt they are all pretending to be thick on purpose.
I thought it would be interesting to make this list.
Anyway, since this market is dominated by noobs - including funds (you really think Sergeant Pompliano is a genius with his 2 years of crypto only permabull experience even if he lies in his posts he's still bad and what about the funds that lost 75%?) - we can expect mistakes of noobs to dictate price action.
And for the past year+ it has been this way. Price levels got overcut all the time. 6000 that every one is expecting will be overcut, because every one is expecting it...
Well 3000 got overcut too. May 2018 top was 9950 right below 10k. I forgot but I remember most of the time this happening.
Bulls will take profit early, and tell every one how smart they are before giving it all up by adding to their losers and remaining silent.
Can we call this fundamental based? :D
Might want to wait till monday to make sure the price does not go further. And well that's when CME opens and every one can trade it.
I have to get verified on Kraken again. I don't like CME. Closed on the week end really? But with eu brokers we have negative balance protection.
On Kraken I assume risk is unlimited.
Can't use Bitmex because scam and funding. Why do I even bother. There is no simple way to short Crimecoin. Only short term works or fees kill.
With someone that has limited risk. But those have big disadvantages. Is it even worth it? EU broker have negative balance protection but also you get margin called at 50% so you need twice the money and have to risk twice as much if something big happens... So dumb. But I'm 66% sure the price will retrace here and RR is >1,5.
The additional risk caused by idiotic rules and no simple way to short Bitcoin is worth it with odds this good.
I shorted a bit already a tiny bit. Can scale in 5700-6000 area, or go all at once at 5800.