BTC - TREND PREDICTION (2)

Everything is clear on the chart. This is my new idea although here I posted a different scenario too. The things I have concluded based on my analysis are as below:
1-We said goodbye to the Bull market from April 2021
2-Bear market started in Apr 2021 and will continue until Sep 2022 (15 months from now - Today is June 2021)
3-BTC price prediction: Feb 2022 = 25K / May to Sep 2022 = 14k
4- Bull market starts again in Oct 2022