Based off the first Painting of the roadmap publicly back last March. I have updated the plot back in November - so here's the 3rd variation.
Let's start back last March with this;
The extension levels pointed towards the $62,500 level. This was targeting the weekly 3 for a drop down to 28k territory. This was shown in the "they blew up the rocket" post.
On the move back up I had explained in August why we would only see a move up shy of $70,000. This was first highlighted as another Elliott extension with a low volume move up confirming this;
Extension level in September
Fast forward a month;
The interesting thing here is that Bitcoin is becoming ever more institutional - Following the COT data we can see still huge short positions; this plays perfectly into the monthly 4 move. I covered this in the COT post;
Then we neared the extension level; distribution started to show it's hand AGAIN;
I updated the main Roadmap in November with this post;
As we neared the top of the move: the value area range showed more signs for the coming drop.
As I covered in the last couple of streams - We are now midway through the 0-A with 2 distinctive options showing their hand. You have to keep in mind this is Monthly; until the COT Leveraged funds start to tip the scale; expect the low volume move; profit taking and accumulation hand in hand.
Have a great week!
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