Common tendency

2 Haz 2022

Morning folks,

So, BTC has hit our first 0.618 upside extension and shows 3/8 pullback, which is normal. Downside action looks a bit strong and BTC now shows no signs of upside reversal. But we see two factors that could let BTC to keep going with the upside AB=CD pattern. First is cross-market analysis. On 10year yield we have clear H&S pattern, on FX, Gold market price action shows signs of recovery and possible more extended upside action. Thus, we hope that maybe BTC follows with the common tendency, at least at some degree.

Second is, strong K-support area.

Thus, in current circumstances, despite that our long term view is bearish, right now we do not consider new shorts positions by far. For long entry you have two options - either to take position right now, relying on strong support and other markets performance. Alternatively wait for first upside reaction before position taking.