BTC bull/bear cycle and next top prediction

It is well known that BTC follows a clear 4-year (give or take) cycle, dictated by the halvings.

We can split those 4 years into three 16-month periods:

• 16 months pre-halving, moderate bullish period
  
• 16 months post-halving, strong bullish period
  
• 16 months bearish period
  

Given this cycle and these periods, the next BTC top should be somewhere around mid 2025, and I think we'll top out somewhere in the 200k to 250k range.