Currently the implied volatility for this asset is around 7.75%, down from 8.25% of last week. From volatility percentile, point of view, we are currently on 62th from ATR and 27th from DVOL index.
With this volatility percentile values into account we can expected on average that the weekly candle is going to be: 4.9% for bullish 8.2% for bearish
With the current IV, we can expect with a 80% probability that the market is not going to close either above or below the next channel: TOP: 17650 BOT: 14950
Lastly, based on previous calculations, we have: 28% to hit the previous weekly high of 21000 46% to hit the previous weekly low of 15500
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