BTC Targeting 125-130K : Elliott Wave Analysis

In the coming months, Bitcoin is likely to reach its next targets—or at least form one more higher peak. Here’s how it might play out:

Orange Count (Wave 4 Correction):
According to the orange wave count, Bitcoin is in a larger Wave 4 correction of the impulse that began at 49K. This suggests another high is on the way for Wave 5.

Recent Price Action (Higher High Above 102.8K):
After closing daily above 102.8K, the wick at 89K should be seriously considered a potential Wave 4 bottom. This implies we could now be in the fifth and final impulse wave heading up to a new high. Two main scenarios could unfold:

Scenario A (Regular Impulse):
If this is a standard impulse, we’ll see a Wave 2 retracement next—typically between the 0.5 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels of the initial move. That puts a possible Wave 2 target between 97K and 92.5K. From there, Wave 3 would likely accelerate toward 125K. This is shown by the red wave in the chart.

Scenario B (Ending Diagonal):
Wave 5 often appears as an ending diagonal, which can look like a rising wedge or an expanding broadening wedge. If this pattern takes hold, the next high may not exceed 120K by much.

Bearish Alternative:
There is still a bearish possibility as long as we remain below the previous high. In this case, the recent upward move could be part of a larger flat correction, which would push Bitcoin lower again before eventually reaching a new high. This more negative outcome would be confirmed if prices fall below 92K (the 0.786 retracement of the move up from 89K).