The Crypto Commander-In-Chief & The Fibonacci Golden Pocket.
No, this is not a "short idea", but rather a look @ previous market tops & the subsequent corrections.
2013 - In November BTC tops out around the $1,163 mark. An awesome %50,000 return if you were lucky enough to buy bitty @ $2 only a few years prior.
Price then corrects a whopping %86.7 & bottoms @ the Fibonacci 0.618 level, a 2-year accumulation period begins.
It took a total of 406 days for BTC to find the bottom, & exactly 1064 days (35 months) from that low till the 2017 high.
2017 - Thanks to Bitfinex and co, the crypto king tops out in December 2017 @ the 20k mark, a 85% correction follows and price bottoms @ the 0.615 Fibonacci level.
An awesome %12,850 jump from the 2015 lows of $155.
It took approximately 364 days for BTC to find the bottom & ironically, 1071 days before the next all time high- only a single week difference from the 2015-2017 low to high period.
2021 - BTC sets a new all time high of $69,000, a truly spectacular rise. To think this was once 0.01 cents is mind boggling.
A cool %2,150 rise from the 2018 lows of around $3,100.
However 74% has already been wiped from its price when it hit the $17,700 mark. This is also the first that BTC drops below the previous all time high.
Price still hovers around the 0.382 Fibonacci level, should that fail, a visit to the 0.5 Fibonacci is on the cards, it also lines up with the failed rally which resulted in the 2019 high.
Should BTC have a similar 84% correction as it has in the past, it would visit once again, the famed Fibonacci Golden Pocket.
The golden pocket has huge volume profile, i have no doubt that long term bulls would be looking for buys from there (provided that it even gets there)
Another thing to note is that, there is roughly a 4 year period between market tops.
In fact, the duration between the 2013 top and the 2017 top was 1470 days (48.32 Months), only 35 days separate the 2017-2021 high to high period of 1435 days (47.17 months).
Should BTC follow a similar cycle, that could potentially mean a new all time high in October 2025.
BTC can even rocket from here, who knows, only time will tell.
Accumulation, mark-up, distribution- Rise and repeat, its been happening for centuries.
My bias remains unchanged, all my posted ideas are long & are suited for long term investors.
Those get rich quick cowboys are more akin to gamblers, not investors.
I believe that this is the time to be accumulating. Dollar cost averaging into your favourite projects certainly is more appealing now then it was a year ago.
Many coins will go to to zero, some may 10x-100x. Having a strategy is key. Do your own due diligence.
After all - “The market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.” - Warren Buffett.
Hopefully this helps my fellow investors, traders & gamblers.
Good Luck!
Speculative Setup, DYOR.
2013 - In November BTC tops out around the $1,163 mark. An awesome %50,000 return if you were lucky enough to buy bitty @ $2 only a few years prior.
Price then corrects a whopping %86.7 & bottoms @ the Fibonacci 0.618 level, a 2-year accumulation period begins.
It took a total of 406 days for BTC to find the bottom, & exactly 1064 days (35 months) from that low till the 2017 high.
2017 - Thanks to Bitfinex and co, the crypto king tops out in December 2017 @ the 20k mark, a 85% correction follows and price bottoms @ the 0.615 Fibonacci level.
An awesome %12,850 jump from the 2015 lows of $155.
It took approximately 364 days for BTC to find the bottom & ironically, 1071 days before the next all time high- only a single week difference from the 2015-2017 low to high period.
2021 - BTC sets a new all time high of $69,000, a truly spectacular rise. To think this was once 0.01 cents is mind boggling.
A cool %2,150 rise from the 2018 lows of around $3,100.
However 74% has already been wiped from its price when it hit the $17,700 mark. This is also the first that BTC drops below the previous all time high.
Price still hovers around the 0.382 Fibonacci level, should that fail, a visit to the 0.5 Fibonacci is on the cards, it also lines up with the failed rally which resulted in the 2019 high.
Should BTC have a similar 84% correction as it has in the past, it would visit once again, the famed Fibonacci Golden Pocket.
The golden pocket has huge volume profile, i have no doubt that long term bulls would be looking for buys from there (provided that it even gets there)
Another thing to note is that, there is roughly a 4 year period between market tops.
In fact, the duration between the 2013 top and the 2017 top was 1470 days (48.32 Months), only 35 days separate the 2017-2021 high to high period of 1435 days (47.17 months).
Should BTC follow a similar cycle, that could potentially mean a new all time high in October 2025.
BTC can even rocket from here, who knows, only time will tell.
Accumulation, mark-up, distribution- Rise and repeat, its been happening for centuries.
My bias remains unchanged, all my posted ideas are long & are suited for long term investors.
Those get rich quick cowboys are more akin to gamblers, not investors.
I believe that this is the time to be accumulating. Dollar cost averaging into your favourite projects certainly is more appealing now then it was a year ago.
Many coins will go to to zero, some may 10x-100x. Having a strategy is key. Do your own due diligence.
After all - “The market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.” - Warren Buffett.
Hopefully this helps my fellow investors, traders & gamblers.
Good Luck!
Speculative Setup, DYOR.
İlgili yayınlar
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.