There are two options here; we are coiling and its either a symmetric triangle in which case odds are we will go down to 2635 or so, then break through upwards against the upper triangle wall which will send us up up and away to potentially 3000 and at least to 2780.
Thats the trade I'm doing here. My entry target is 2640 where we have really really big support from a Fib Ret plus multiple tops (now bottoms) and current bottoms.
BUT - we might be looking at at a wedge and then if we crash through the bottom at 2632, we are in a ton of trouble and we may be sent all the way down to retest 2520 or even as deep as 2400 or 2000.
I'm a little early in this deal but hey - I've put in my stop loss at 2610 and with an upside from 2640 up to 2780 I'm fine on my risk reward at 4.32.
Coiling up has so much energy in them that its crazy.
So, I'm ready to reverse and short because the upside on shorting if we break through the support is equally deep. Possibly deeper than the upside.
BTCUSD
Thats the trade I'm doing here. My entry target is 2640 where we have really really big support from a Fib Ret plus multiple tops (now bottoms) and current bottoms.
BUT - we might be looking at at a wedge and then if we crash through the bottom at 2632, we are in a ton of trouble and we may be sent all the way down to retest 2520 or even as deep as 2400 or 2000.
I'm a little early in this deal but hey - I've put in my stop loss at 2610 and with an upside from 2640 up to 2780 I'm fine on my risk reward at 4.32.
Coiling up has so much energy in them that its crazy.
So, I'm ready to reverse and short because the upside on shorting if we break through the support is equally deep. Possibly deeper than the upside.
BTCUSDNot
Im changing my entry to 2656 because that 2640 is an outlierNot
Here we go to get into the deal... I hopeNot
Lets see if I can get in Not
hmmm ... I think it will be at 2665 lets see... but its certainly vibrating a lot right nowNot
I put my limit order at 2656 and it popped down and snapped me up, so I'm in this trade even though its a biiiiit early. Long with a stop loss at 2640. Lets see.... and heeeyyyy isn't that a something harmonic Not
oh man... I should have trusted my analysis more and stuck with my 2640 entry point... ah well... lesson learned.Not
Probably something like that: Not
I felt I was too early in this trade and so I did a limit sell to exit without losses... I want to be extremely disciplined and not enter until I see strong confirmation. I see better and better confirmation by the bounces off the 2632 support line and so I will pickup there
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Back in the deal at 2632 still thats a nice 20 dollar points away from my bad timing. Now we will see if the deal of this trade is truly there over the next hours.Not
Ommmpffff stop loss İşlem kapandı: durdurma seviyesi
My new position is the reverse down to 2520. Thats the beauty of trading, sure I made a small loss, cut it with my stop. Now on to the short down to 2520 opened at 2603. Risk reward ratio 7.4. Stop loss 2615. Not
The 2594 support got broken: Not
HAHA! Never say never!! Anyway - as you know I stop lossed once we broke down the 2632 range support with the double top and Fib Ret and knowing it isn't for sure if we are dealing with a triangle in the coiling system or a down wedge. So - in short - OUT... but now something's happening:If we consistently go above the support I'm gonna go back in this deal and trade long.
I had a long run this morning, did my meditation and understood the mistake I had done yesterday to simple be that I was in the deal too early. Always buy after strong signals have been given that your trade is right and pay the premium for being late is my approach.
I'm not gonna do the same mistake twice. Stick to strategy, confirm probabilities and that it makes sense with the indicator mix I use for spotting my trades. More on the system later as I'm proving it up.
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Wait for it ;-) .. I want this confirmedNot
Look out for the butterfly - bat - other harmonics, they're pretty and full of energy!! We crossed over EMA on the 5,15,30 min chart. One hour is just about there but there could still be pull down as MACD / RSI are short term hot.That said MACD 1hr is turning from negative and thats really really good news... standing by to open the position.
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One hour MACD: Not
We are not go yet. It could swing back down to 2590 or lower and then use that confirmed bottom as a bounce to go high with a bit a help on the FOMO train. I hope. Coiling up. MACD is hot and downwards looking on the 5 min chart.Ready to pull the trigger ... now its always a question if I will want to be 100% confirmed above the support line at 2632 or I dare to snap up a potentially good deal down at 2590. Well well... its a delta of 40 points so I might sit that one out
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Breath. Be patient. :DNot
Yeah - this deal is getting confirmed now.Not
There are still dragons and dungeons. This is still too early. Not
...at least we are on the north side of the support more or less... but still - a down wedge isnt the best option.İşlem aktif
Im back in this deal as of 2638. Let's take the elevator up!Not
This should make for another niiiiiiiice ride!! Not
I LOVE IT when you're angry : Not
Pay attention - we gotta move up to 2715-2720 or we're in trouble. Not
This is a very real risk right now: 
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.