BTC out of falling wedge completing elliot waves, Target 10100

Hi there
i think short term target will be around 10100
reasons :
1. size of falling wedge left side
2. elliot waves size of wave 1=5
3. 1200 ma 4 hour= 200 ma daily huge resistance
4. 38.20 fib retracement of 11700 to 6500 fall wave