BTC/EUR - Why I am waiting for a long signal

I use the BTC/EUR on a daily chart because the EUR is way more stable than the USD and only 2 indicators - 30 SMA (a month of data) for a directional baseline and standard ATR for volume.
The price have to break the trendline from 13. feb. and close clearly on the other side of 9200 before I consider to go long. Next resistance is at 9600.