2 possible price actions for BNB

hello everybody.
I'm gonna keep it simple as always.
The next resistance is around 500 - 510 $.
if BTC stays above 45 k , BNB will get close to 500 $.(something like green path)
if BTC goes to 50K , obviously the rest of the market especially BNB will follow.
there is no drop for " only BNB " , it will be for the whole market with BTC Leadership.
in that case , the price should break the trend line first and retest it .(something like red path).
.....
not financial advice !
please , share your ideas with me !
have good day