AUDUSD ~ Risk Off Sentiment: Stuck In Limbo into EOY (2H)

11 Ara 2023

AUDUSD chart mapping/analysis.

Aussie Dollarydoos struggling to regain bullish momentum after early December peak.

Trading scenarios into EOY:

• Preliminary trading range = ~66.20 to ~65.25.
  
• Break above ~66.20 = regain bullish momentum.
  
• Bullish target(s) = re-test descending trend-line (white dotted) / upper range of ascending parallel channel (green).
  
• Break below ~65.25 = extend bearish capitulation.
  
• Bearish target(s) = 61.8% Fib / lower range of ascending parallel channel (green) confluence zone.
  
• 200SMA also acting as dynamic resistance, reinforcing bearish rollover.
  
• Major macro economic news this week = higher probability of implied volatile swings in either direction.
  

14 Ara 2023

Not

AUDUSD chart update (Thurs 14/12):

• Price action ripping in response to DXY dump post-FOMC.
  
• Break above/held descending trend-line (white, dotted) = conviction in chart mapping (so far).
  
• Consolidation just below upper range of ascending parallel channel (green) raises probability of potential parabolic move above parallel channel, or capitulate back into choppy range, TBC.