Fundamental Backdrop 1. USD more hawkish than AUD, with a potentially higher terminal rate. 2. US economy continues to be very resilient, taking the USD by strength.
Technical Confluences 1. The overall bias for AUDUSD on the H4 chart is bearish. 2. Price is on a bearish trend, forming lower lows and lower highs. 3. Price could potentially retrace to the H4 resistance level at 0.678. 4. Anticipating price to retest the weekly support level at 0.662. 5. Price has already broken multiple structures to the downside. 6. Price is resting below the ichimoku cloud, signifying bearish intent.
Idea I will be looking for price to continue its bearish trend and for price to tap into the weekly support level at 0.662 before price could potentially head bullish.
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