I’m looking to short AUD/JPY on the 1H timeframe, with confluence from both the pair’s price action and the JPY basket breaking a key trendline. Here’s the setup:
Entry Strategy: After rejecting a key resistance at 100.663, I’m waiting for a confirmed closure below this level before entering. The plan is to enter on a retracement back to around 100.531, aligning with the resistance.
JPY Basket Confluence: The JPY basket has also broken a significant downward trendline, indicating potential JPY strength. This adds additional confirmation for the short idea on AUD/JPY.
Stop Loss (SL): I’ve set my stop at 101.276, just above recent highs and above the resistance, which gives a buffer of +74.5 pips.
Take Profit (TP): TP is placed at 98.858, targeting previous lows and key support, offering a solid 2.25 risk-reward ratio and a potential gain of +167 pips.
With both the technical structure on AUD/JPY and the JPY basket confirming potential downside, this trade presents a great opportunity to capture a move lower. I’ll be watching closely for the retracement before entering.
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