$ASML consolidation is almost over! PT > 1100

6 Eyl

- Reasons to be bullish on Monopolistic ASML :

- Open AI has decided to manufacture their own chips by partnering with AVGO (bullish) and is bearish for NVDA and AMD
- Writing was in the wall, if there's gold rush, everyone will start sourcing their own equipments to be more efficient than relying on others all the time once scale is reached.

- Nonetheless, instead of running to $NVDIA, even hyperscalers would like to have their variants of the chips so that they can keep the money flow internal whenever possible.

- Who would be the beneficiary for the next race for building custom chips in next 4-5 years? I don't know but I do know that ASML would be in a similar position like NVDA was in 2023-2024 where NVDA basically provided shovels to the goldminers ( companies using chips )

- Now, big companies have ambitions to build chips in house which is bullish for AVGO and primarily ASML

6 Eyl

Not

Fundamentals wise price targets:

Year |2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 27.79 | 29.18 | 35.11 | 40.18
EPS% | 39.16% | 4.98% | 20.33% | 14.44%

EPS growth is high double digit except 2026. However, ASML is a monopoly therefore, I don't mind paying forward p/e 30

Fair value:
Year |2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
Price | 833 | 875 | 1053 | 1205

6 Eyl

Not

- ASML is forming inverse head and shoulders on weekly timeframe.

6 Eyl

Not

Price Targets based on fibonacci retracements considering top was $1108 on 11 July 2024 and low was $579 on April 07, 2025 :

PT #1 ( fib 0.236 ) : $704 ✅
PT #2 ( fib 0.382 ) : $782 ✅
PT #3 ( fib 0.5 ) : $844
PT #4 ( fib 0.618 ) : $906
PT #5 ( fib 0.786 ) : $995
PT #6 ( fib 1 ) : $1108
PT #7 ( fib 1.618 ) : $1435

9 Eyl

Not

- ASML investing in Mistral AI is bullish for the whole european tech scene because they are supporting a competition to Open AI, Claude etc and European law/policy making is usually stricter than US therefore mistral could have huge upside by expansion in Europe which should amplify ASML gains and help them with diversification

9 Eyl

Not

- Short term investor would have preferred stock buyback and but for long term investor ASML
investment could reap them 2-5x return on investment on their investment in mistral ai

15 Eyl

Not

PT #3 ( fib 0.5 ) : $844 is reached on September 15, 2025

20 Eyl

Not

- China banning NVDA is yet another bullish tailwind for ASML . Chinese tech companies would be building their in-house chips.

22 Eyl

Not

PT #4 ( fib 0.618 ) : $906 is reached

22 Eyl

Not

Next target:
PT #5 ( fib 0.786 ) : $995

22 Eyl

Not

Aren't you guys tired of winning?

if not, follow for more action before it happens!

2 Eki

Not

PT #5 ( fib 0.786 ) : $995 reached :)

2 Eki

Not

Next Target: PT #6 ( fib 1 ) : $1108

8 Eki

İşlem kapandı: hedefe ulaştı

closing trade and securing the gains