Over the short term, and on a technical basis, Anglo American Platinum ( AMS) appears to be trading near a 'oversold' range vs Impala Platinum ( IMP ). On this basis, from a market neutral perspective, I consider a long (buy) position in AMS vs a short (sell) position in IMP.
The two shares have a high historical correlation however the recent trend (AMS underperforming IMP) has seen this correlation develop a discrepancy, opening up an opportunity to potentially profit as prices revert to it's mean.
A successful pair trade can be realized 1 of 3 ways:
The long position rises while the short position falls
The long position rises faster than the short position rises
The short position falls faster than the long position falls.
Pre-market view of entry levels (subject to change based on subsequent intraday price action).
Last close of ratio price: 7.16 Preferred entry range: 7.05 - 7.18 Stop-loss: 6.92 Target: 7.75
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