ADBE Pre-Earnings Call Signal — Strong Rally, Elevated Risk

📈 ADBE Trading Info — Earnings Signal (2025-12-09)

BUY CALLS
Confidence: 50% (Medium Conviction)
Risk Level: High — Katy conflict detected

🔢 Options Setup

Strike: $347.50

Expiry: 2025-12-12 (3 days)

Entry Range: $11.75 – $12.25 (Mid: $12.00)

Target 1: $18.00

Target 2: $24.00

Stop Loss: $8.40

Position Size: 2% of portfolio

📊 Market Snapshot

Current Price: $345.65

24h Move: +5.77%

Implied Move: $25.78 (7.5%)

Volume: 0.7× average

PCR: 0.78 (Neutral)

Earnings Date: Dec 10, 2025

🤖 Katy AI (Conflict Warning)

Trend: Neutral

Confidence: 50%

Predicted Move: -1.71% (PUT bias)

Target Price: $340.92

⚠️ KATY–LLM Conflict: LLM bullish / Katy bearish

📰 Sentiment Overview

Mixed analysts (Stifel Buy but lower PT)

Strong fundamentals:

6230% revenue growth

75% beat rate history

Unusual bullish activity at $392C

Pre-earnings rally indicates institutional accumulation

⚠️ Key Notes

High risk due to AI conflict & earnings volatility

Strong run-up increases likelihood of post-earnings whipsaw

Tight stop-loss recommended

Watch price reaction to earnings guidance immediately after release

Small position size required