Today I am looking @ ADAUSD from couple of technical view 1.Trend Analysis 1.Wave count 2.Technical Support level 3.Pattern emerging
Having count a significant 5 Elliot Wave Pattern which the 5th wave moves from 68.2%(0.9721) retracement level and terminated @ 127.2%(3.1763) extension. A GARTLEY Harmonic Pattern has currently emerge from my perspective which is currently sitting on a long term support zone of 1.0054 to 0.74. It is glaring from the Monthly Chart we are in a long term Uptrend while our Intermediate term Trend (WEEKLY) is currently balancing as we are still sitting above a huge daily support level of (1.0054 to 0.74) while our Short Term Trend(Daily Chart is DOWN) and hitting a support zone that ranges from 1.0054 to 0.74.
This Technical Support level of 1.0054 to 0.74 is an inflection point for my Long Bias. We may see a potential quick flush down below it or price may hold steady where we are to start seeing a potential Trend change pattern for continuation to the Upside.
But any break below our support level and a retest to give us a role reversal will be the change to a down trend for me.
LONG ENTRY A bounce from TECHNICAL SUPPORT 1.0054 to 0.74
SHORT ENTRY ROLE REVERSAL of BREAK BELOW 0.74 and retest with rejection as a resistance
Also to buttress up my LONG BIAS, we are currently sitting on a long term 633EMA that I use to gauge OVERBOUGHT and OVERSOLD level. Price has hit my yellow 633EMA and I am expecting short term volatility in price between 200EMA (black) and yellow 633EMA.The only Challenge we have is I am still looking for volume to backup my long.
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