Is American Finally Cleared for Takeoff?
American Airlines has struggled for years. Could it now regain lost altitude?
The first pattern on today’s chart is the falling trend line along the highs of May, August and September. The carrier pushed through that resistance last week and has now bounced at it. Has the line become support?
Next is the recent low around $12. This closely matches the 78.6 percent Fibonacci retracement level of the entire rally between March 2020 and May 2021. (For the sake of visual simplicity, the other retracement lines are not shown.)
Including the low in June, AAL has also formed a double bottom around the same price level. That’s another potential sign of sellers losing control.
Third, the Relative Strength Index has shown positive divergence over the same time period.
Finally seasonality and fundamentals could be in play as travel rebounds into the holidays. TSA data shows daily flights consistently back above 2 million per day. AAL also reported strong quarterly numbers last week (echoing the results of peers like
Delta Airlines and 
United Airlines).
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This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: https://www.tradestation.com/important-information.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the falling trend line along the highs of May, August and September. The carrier pushed through that resistance last week and has now bounced at it. Has the line become support?
Next is the recent low around $12. This closely matches the 78.6 percent Fibonacci retracement level of the entire rally between March 2020 and May 2021. (For the sake of visual simplicity, the other retracement lines are not shown.)
Including the low in June, AAL has also formed a double bottom around the same price level. That’s another potential sign of sellers losing control.
Third, the Relative Strength Index has shown positive divergence over the same time period.
Finally seasonality and fundamentals could be in play as travel rebounds into the holidays. TSA data shows daily flights consistently back above 2 million per day. AAL also reported strong quarterly numbers last week (echoing the results of peers like
Delta Airlines and United Airlines).TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
Important Information
TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. You Can Trade, Inc. is also a wholly owned subsidiary of TradeStation Group, Inc., operating under its own brand and trademarks. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means.
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: https://www.tradestation.com/important-information.
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