Alcoa rallied early last year after the Ukraine war threatened aluminum supplies. It’s struggled since and now some traders may expect further pushes to the downside.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs since August (marked with red arrows). Those may reflect a lack of long-term interest in the name.
Speaking of long-term moves, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) recently had a “death cross” under the 200-day SMA.
Third, prices knifed under December’s closing low of $42.22 in mid-March. They formed a tight channel above roughly $38.50, but ended last week below that support.
Finally, the weaker macroeconomic environment may drag on a cyclical material stock like AA.
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