(6A1!) – Bullish Continuation Setup

3 gün önce

Description:

6A1! (AUD/USD Futures) is currently coiling inside a symmetrical triangle structure, developing a textbook compression pattern after reclaiming a key low-volume demand zone. The price action shows signs of bullish continuation, supported by structural higher lows and the recent mitigation of a local Fair Value Gap (FVG).

Market Structure & Context:
After a sharp drop into premium demand, price formed a structural bottom near 0.6500 and began carving out higher lows.

Price is now consolidating beneath a descending trend line, forming a symmetrical triangle, typically a neutral pattern but here it follows a strong impulsive move from demand, giving it bullish continuation potential.

A Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed on the most recent impulsive candle and is now being actively tested if reclaimed and held, it could act as a launchpad for upside continuation.

Key Technical Levels:

Entry Zone: 0.65320 (Break and retest of triangle support + micro demand)

Fair Value Gap: 0.65380–0.65440 (needs a clean close above)

TP1: 0.65480 (Previous structural resistance)

TP2: 0.65670 (Full premium supply mitigation zone)

Invalidation: Below 0.65200 (would break triangle and invalidate bullish thesis)

Quantitative Confluence:

Volume tapering off within the wedge = compression

Efficient rejection of thin liquidity zone suggests institutional accumulation

Symmetrical triangle resolution statistics historically favoUr continuation of prior move (bullish impulse precedes consolidation)

Risk Considerations:

FVG rejection could trap breakout traders wait for clear close above + retest

CPI/News events during Asia or London may cause fake out wicks — avoid premature entries

Final Thoughts:

This setup offers a high-probability breakout scenario if price can hold above 0.65320 and reclaim the FVG zone. A clean breakout of the triangle and fair value gap would open the path to premium inefficiency fill around 0.65670. However, a breakdown below 0.65200 flips the script bearish and could target the lower demand block around 0.65000.

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Our trade idea on 6A1! (AUD/USD Futures) played out exactly as planned.

Recap:
After identifying clear rejection from the 1HR demand zone with confluence from EMA structure, price made a decisive move upward, breaking through the LVN and retesting a minor FVG before pushing to our first target at 0.65450 (TP1). The move confirms buyers stepping in off structural demand and shows a healthy transition back into the value area above 0.65200.

Current View:
Price is now consolidating below the 1HR supply zone. If momentum continues, TP2 at 0.65620 remains valid. However, we may see short-term rejection or a range develop here before continuation.

Key Levels:

✅ TP1: 0.65450 ✅

🎯 TP2: 0.65620 (active)

🟥 Supply: 0.65470–0.65600

🟩 Demand: 0.65000–0.65130

Staakd Rating: ★★★★☆
(Rated 4/5 for confluence, execution precision, and structure alignment)