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The Composite Predictive Index-(CPI-IGv5)***

Main Purpose: Developed by Alcides J. Davila (TradingView: Alcides0265), a Miami-based daily trader and financial consultant specializing in commodities and capital solutions. The primary reason for CPI-IG v5 is to deliver institutional-grade predictive signals for market direction, synthesizing diverse technical factors into a probabilistic "probUp" score (upward movement likelihood) to guide high-confidence trades, aiming for 68-80% predictability in identifying trends/reversals.
Key Features: Probability Engine: Weighted combination of price delta, momentum (CMMI from RSI/mom), volume pressure, volatility (ATR/BB), trend slope, sentiment/news (manual inputs), projection (MACD ratio), and POC crossover; normalized via Z-score and tanh approx, mapped to probUp using normal CDF or logistic.
Signals and Strategies: Base/strong/ultra buy/sell gates based on prob thresholds (e.g., >0.68 for medium-term buys), bullish/bearish alignments (EMA9/20/SMA9 vs. VWAP/POC proxy), Golden/Death crosses (EMA50/200), short/medium/long confirmations, and breakout/breakdown with retest detection.
Visuals and HUD: Overlay plots (EMAs, BB, VWAP, projections), dynamic tables for stats (prob/z/ATR/delta vol), oscillator (bull/neu/bear on LTF/current/HTF), indexes (S&P/DJIA/Nasdaq), ETFs (SPY/QQQ/VIX), all resizable/movable.
Trading Modes: Versatile for scalping (short projections, 0.55 buy thresh), intraday, short/medium/long-term (stricter thresh up to 0.70, adjusted lookbacks/projections up to 500 bars).
Additional Tools: Internal backtest (with TP/SL via ATR mults, slippage/fees), alerts with cooldown, multi-timeframe alignment (HTF strict option).
Design and Protocol Structure: Modular Pine Script v5 with helpers (tanh/erf approx for ASCII-only math, safe div/Z-score norms); core series compute indicators (RSI/MACD/BB/VWAP/volume delta); linear weighted sum -> standardized Z -> prob calc -> gated signals with filters; efficient resource caps (max bars/lines/labels=500).
Reliability: Multi-factor redundancy and confirmations (e.g., simultaneous POC crosses, vol/MACD filters for ultra signals) reduce noise; HTF/LTF integration ensures alignment; backtest tracks cumR/wins/maxDD for validation; robustness via clamping/approx handles extremes/div0.
Efficiency: Real-time computation with rolling sums/Z-windows (50 bars); optimized for daily/institutional use without heavy lag; cooldowns prevent alert overload.
Robustness: Edge-case handling (e.g., na checks, mintick ranges); flexible inputs (weights, mults, modes) adapt to markets; no strict cutoff, continuous updates via security requests.
Flexibility: Customizable weights/thresh/resolutions; manual sentiment/news for external integration; toggles for visuals/backtest; suits pros, institutions, scalpers, daily traders across assets/timeframes.
Market Predictability: Claims 68-80% effectiveness via sophisticated prob model, multi-indicator fusion, and strategy layers; thresholds imply edge (e.g., 70% long-term buy prob), enhanced by projections/breakouts for forward bias.
Tiny Simplified Feedback Summary
CPI-IG v5 excels as a versatile, prob-driven institutional tool for predictive trading (68-80% edge), blending TA factors with custom modes/signals/visuals; robust and efficient for all trader levels, per code analysis and TradingView desc. Cheers!!!
Key Features: Probability Engine: Weighted combination of price delta, momentum (CMMI from RSI/mom), volume pressure, volatility (ATR/BB), trend slope, sentiment/news (manual inputs), projection (MACD ratio), and POC crossover; normalized via Z-score and tanh approx, mapped to probUp using normal CDF or logistic.
Signals and Strategies: Base/strong/ultra buy/sell gates based on prob thresholds (e.g., >0.68 for medium-term buys), bullish/bearish alignments (EMA9/20/SMA9 vs. VWAP/POC proxy), Golden/Death crosses (EMA50/200), short/medium/long confirmations, and breakout/breakdown with retest detection.
Visuals and HUD: Overlay plots (EMAs, BB, VWAP, projections), dynamic tables for stats (prob/z/ATR/delta vol), oscillator (bull/neu/bear on LTF/current/HTF), indexes (S&P/DJIA/Nasdaq), ETFs (SPY/QQQ/VIX), all resizable/movable.
Trading Modes: Versatile for scalping (short projections, 0.55 buy thresh), intraday, short/medium/long-term (stricter thresh up to 0.70, adjusted lookbacks/projections up to 500 bars).
Additional Tools: Internal backtest (with TP/SL via ATR mults, slippage/fees), alerts with cooldown, multi-timeframe alignment (HTF strict option).
Design and Protocol Structure: Modular Pine Script v5 with helpers (tanh/erf approx for ASCII-only math, safe div/Z-score norms); core series compute indicators (RSI/MACD/BB/VWAP/volume delta); linear weighted sum -> standardized Z -> prob calc -> gated signals with filters; efficient resource caps (max bars/lines/labels=500).
Reliability: Multi-factor redundancy and confirmations (e.g., simultaneous POC crosses, vol/MACD filters for ultra signals) reduce noise; HTF/LTF integration ensures alignment; backtest tracks cumR/wins/maxDD for validation; robustness via clamping/approx handles extremes/div0.
Efficiency: Real-time computation with rolling sums/Z-windows (50 bars); optimized for daily/institutional use without heavy lag; cooldowns prevent alert overload.
Robustness: Edge-case handling (e.g., na checks, mintick ranges); flexible inputs (weights, mults, modes) adapt to markets; no strict cutoff, continuous updates via security requests.
Flexibility: Customizable weights/thresh/resolutions; manual sentiment/news for external integration; toggles for visuals/backtest; suits pros, institutions, scalpers, daily traders across assets/timeframes.
Market Predictability: Claims 68-80% effectiveness via sophisticated prob model, multi-indicator fusion, and strategy layers; thresholds imply edge (e.g., 70% long-term buy prob), enhanced by projections/breakouts for forward bias.
Tiny Simplified Feedback Summary
CPI-IG v5 excels as a versatile, prob-driven institutional tool for predictive trading (68-80% edge), blending TA factors with custom modes/signals/visuals; robust and efficient for all trader levels, per code analysis and TradingView desc. Cheers!!!
Korumalı komut dosyası
Bu komut dosyası kapalı kaynak olarak yayınlanmaktadır. Ancak, ücretsiz ve herhangi bir sınırlama olmaksızın kullanabilirsiniz – daha fazla bilgiyi buradan edinebilirsiniz.
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, alım satım veya diğer türden tavsiye veya öneriler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Koşulları bölümünde daha fazlasını okuyun.
Korumalı komut dosyası
Bu komut dosyası kapalı kaynak olarak yayınlanmaktadır. Ancak, ücretsiz ve herhangi bir sınırlama olmaksızın kullanabilirsiniz – daha fazla bilgiyi buradan edinebilirsiniz.
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, alım satım veya diğer türden tavsiye veya öneriler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Koşulları bölümünde daha fazlasını okuyun.