Welcome everyone,
Been busy trading BTC and running the Edge Analysis Group but its time to post again so here it is;
XLM's trend is down so shorts are more attractive now especially with BTC acting up, none the less the market is still in a full on bull market compared so the short will be short but sweet with a tight stop loss.
Signals:
- Cloud entry with some supportive buy volume but still in a downtrend.
- nearing a short term swing high.
- Tight stop loss opportunity with a high gain opportunity.
- Bearish cloud, bearish break attempt.
- down trend on the higher frames.
- Momentum for an uptrend weakening. ( osc: RSI )
I do think many traders are watching the patterns to long it but that swing high inside the cloud and getting denied is a bearish signal if you like it or not, the gain of a long towards the 200 EMA or edge of the cloud is too low compared to the downside risk of your stop loss getting hit even though you could do a long trade based on the pattern that is forming right now.
I am bearish on XLM because of the bearish trend, potential loss is low and the potential gain is high in the short term.
Green lines: Target zones, adjust to risk profile.
Box + orange lines : Stop loss area, adjust to risk profile.
Gain: 11%- 18% ( for those that want to be risk averse, 50 EMA is the earliest TP target. not included in calc. )
loss: 3%-6%
I will be looking to go long if we break the cloud but for now that is not the case so short it is.
As always,
Happy Hunting!
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