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UnknownUnicorn2957410
16 Mar 2020 10:48

UKX FTSE 100 Levels 40% off high 

UK 100 INDEXTVC

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Looking back at last big falls for the data we have access too, Not a major sample size, But seems around 50% falls based on last 2 big sell offs in 2000 and 2008. We're currently at 40%, And at a point that bounced in the past. This has been a considerably faster fall too, will it be bigger, smaller?? We are all waiting?

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The FTSE 100 in dollar terms

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FTSE 250 also at important zone

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As is the all share index

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On the Hourly, The Ftse100 is starting to look much more constructive, higher lows on rsi and price. Let's see if a base starts to form.

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The UK market follows the S&P pretty closely, Which to is at an important level based of fibs and previous test in 2018. If this doesn't hold could get busy to south side

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US and UK markets showing some promise, But hanging back for more confirmation

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Important level to hold, with only 2% of stocks in the FTSE100 index above 200MA could be tricky to hold. Watching as always

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S&P and FTSE ripped up a huge amount today, But S&P hit a point on anchored Vwap, If we get through this overhead supply its a strong vote for the bulls

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Here's the view from the FTSE itself. Also some overhead to get through before we can call it bullish

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Gold the often risk off asset is rallying but at a resistance level, Would need to reverse to support idea of equities push up bit

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Does Breadth % of stocks above 200MA support the surge up?
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Lionhead
Still debating whether I'm too late for a short option on the FTSE100... the way the govt is approaching the virus is terrible... plus the upcoming (April 6th) tax hunt of self employed contractors/freelancers will lead to a lot of teams at major companies in finance, utilities, and other private institutions being reduced by 30%.
UnknownUnicorn2957410
@Lionhead, Not sure the Ir35 will make a huge difference. It's just more messing around for medium size bussiness over 10 million turnover. I have been pondereing the short myself. At this point the bounces make it risky IMO. Watching Breadth carefully at mo. The % of FTSE100 stocks abover their 200 day MA is only 4%, So we may have a while to wait for some buying to retun before we see serious longer term reversal.
Lionhead
@Patrad1, I guess waiting for a rip is the decent enough bet for now
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